2026–27 standings points

Season projections

Every team's projected points over 84 games, with the range the final total landed in 80% of the time for past projections. Frozen at opening night and graded at season end.

As of end of the 2025 regular season, rosters as projected 2026-09-17

Projected standings points
Rank	Team	Points	80% range	Last season*	Offseason
1	Tampa Bay Lightning	107.2	88.7–123.2	106	+1.3
2	Carolina Hurricanes	107.1	88.7–123.2	113	-1.0
3	Colorado Avalanche	106.9	88.5–123.0	121	-6.6
4	Ottawa Senators	105.3	86.9–121.4	99	-0.9
5	Vegas Golden Knights	102.9	84.5–119.0	95	-0.1
6	Florida Panthers	102.1	83.6–118.1	84	+10.5
7	Dallas Stars	102.0	83.6–118.1	112	-0.6
8	Pittsburgh Penguins	99.9	81.4–115.9	98	+0.7
9	Buffalo Sabres	99.8	81.3–115.8	109	+1.4
10	Edmonton Oilers	99.0	80.5–115.0	93	+0.2
11	Minnesota Wild	97.9	79.5–114.0	104	-1.9
12	Philadelphia Flyers	96.5	78.1–112.6	98	+1.5
13	Utah Mammoth	96.1	77.6–112.1	92	-3.3
14	Washington Capitals	95.3	76.9–111.4	95	+0.6
15	Montreal Canadiens	93.9	75.5–110.0	106	-1.0
16	New Jersey Devils	93.8	75.3–109.8	87	+4.0
17	Columbus Blue Jackets	93.1	74.7–109.2	92	-0.3
18	Boston Bruins	91.2	72.8–107.3	100	-1.4
19	New York Rangers	91.0	72.6–107.1	77	+0.5
20	Toronto Maple Leafs	90.5	72.0–106.5	78	+9.0
21	San Jose Sharks	90.0	71.6–106.1	86	+3.2
22	Anaheim Ducks	89.7	71.3–105.8	92	-4.2
23	Los Angeles Kings	89.1	70.7–105.2	90	-1.8
24	Detroit Red Wings	89.1	70.6–105.1	92	-1.6
25	St. Louis Blues	86.9	68.5–103.0	86	-0.2
26	Nashville Predators	86.4	67.9–102.4	86	-1.9
27	New York Islanders	84.6	66.2–100.7	91	-2.6
28	Seattle Kraken	84.1	65.7–100.2	79	+0.5
29	Winnipeg Jets	83.8	65.3–99.8	82	-2.0
30	Chicago Blackhawks	78.2	59.7–94.2	72	+2.4
31	Calgary Flames	76.3	57.9–92.4	77	-5.0
32	Vancouver Canucks	74.9	56.4–90.9	58	+0.2

*Last season was 82 games; this one is 84.

What moved each team

Roster, coaching and players back from injury

Tampa Bay Lightning 105.9 → 107.2

Roster -0.7 · coaching -0.3 · returning players +2.3

In: John Carlson, Jeffrey Viel, Ilya Mikheyev

Out: Darren Raddysh, Oliver Bjorkstrand, Emil Lilleberg

Carolina Hurricanes 108.1 → 107.1

Roster -2.4 · coaching -0.3 · returning players +1.8

Out: Mike Reilly, Joel Nystrom, Jesperi Kotkaniemi

Injured reserve: Seth Jarvis, Eric Robinson

Colorado Avalanche 113.5 → 106.9

Roster -6.4 · coaching -0.3 · returning players +0.3

In: Jaden Schwartz, Fedor Svechkov, Zachary L'Heureux

Out: Valeri Nichushkin, Ross Colton, Jack Drury

Ottawa Senators 106.2 → 105.3

Roster -1.0 · coaching -0.3 · returning players +0.5

In: William Eklund, Andre Burakovsky

Out: Brady Tkachuk, Nick Cousins, David Perron

Vegas Golden Knights 103.0 → 102.9

Roster -0.6 · coaching -0.3 · returning players +0.9

In: Victor Olofsson, Parker Wotherspoon, Marc Gatcomb

Out: Pavel Dorofeyev, Kaedan Korczak, Ben Hutton

New head coach R. Craig, replacing J. Tortorella.

Florida Panthers 91.6 → 102.1

Roster +3.8 · coaching -0.3 · returning players +7.0

In: Brady Tkachuk, Aleksander Barkov, Radko Gudas

Out: Mackie Samoskevich, A.J. Greer, Evan Rodrigues

Dallas Stars 102.6 → 102.0

Roster -0.5 · coaching -0.3 · returning players +0.3

In: Joel Kiviranta

Out: Mavrik Bourque, Michael Bunting, Kyle Capobianco

Injured reserve: Tyler Seguin

Pittsburgh Penguins 99.2 → 99.9

Roster -0.5 · coaching -0.3 · returning players +1.6

In: Andrei Kuzmenko, Kaedan Korczak, Trevor van Riemsdyk

Out: Anthony Mantha, Parker Wotherspoon, Ryan Shea

Injured reserve: Joel Blomqvist, Filip Hallander

Buffalo Sabres 98.4 → 99.8

Roster +1.0 · coaching -0.3 · returning players +0.7

In: Olen Zellweger, Louis Crevier

Out: Alex Tuch, Bowen Byram, Logan Stanley

Injured reserve: Jiri Kulich

Edmonton Oilers 98.8 → 99.0

Roster -2.7 · coaching +3.2 · returning players -0.4

In: Ryan Shea, Shakir Mukhamadullin, Mathieu Joseph

Out: Jack Roslovic, Darnell Nurse, Spencer Stastney

Injured reserve: Alec Regula, Frederik Andersen, Mattias Janmark, Matthew Savoie

New head coach M. Babcock, replacing K. Knoblauch.

Minnesota Wild 99.8 → 97.9

Roster -1.1 · coaching -0.3 · returning players -0.4

In: Blake Coleman, Olli Maatta, Maxim Shabanov

Out: Mats Zuccarello, Marcus Johansson, Vladimir Tarasenko

Injured reserve: Filip Gustavsson

Philadelphia Flyers 95.0 → 96.5

Roster +1.6 · coaching -0.3 · returning players +0.2

In: Noel Acciari

Out: Emil Andrae, Bobby Brink, Egor Zamula

Utah Mammoth 99.4 → 96.1

Roster -2.1 · coaching -0.3 · returning players -1.0

In: Anders Lee, Vincent Trocheck, Andrew Peeke

Out: JJ Peterka, Sean Durzi, Ian Cole

Washington Capitals 94.7 → 95.3

Roster +0.8 · coaching -0.3 · returning players +0.2

In: Alex Tuch, Jordan Kyrou, Boone Jenner

Out: John Carlson, Connor McMichael, Ethen Frank

Injured reserve: Rasmus Sandin

Montreal Canadiens 94.9 → 93.9

Roster +0.9 · coaching -0.3 · returning players -1.4

In: Chris Kreider

Out: Alexandre Texier, Brendan Gallagher, Sammy Blais

New Jersey Devils 89.8 → 93.8

Roster +4.0 · coaching -0.3 · returning players +0.3

In: Luke Evangelista, Anthony Mantha, Evan Rodrigues

Out: Simon Nemec, Colton White, Lenni Hameenaho

Injured reserve: Stefan Noesen

Columbus Blue Jackets 93.4 → 93.1

Roster +0.4 · coaching -0.3 · returning players -0.4

In: Valeri Nichushkin, Ryan Lomberg

Out: Boone Jenner, Mason Marchment, Egor Chinakhov

Injured reserve: Isac Lundestrom

Boston Bruins 92.6 → 91.2

Roster -0.4 · coaching -0.3 · returning players -0.6

In: JJ Peterka, Will Borgen

Out: Viktor Arvidsson, Michael Eyssimont, Jonathan Aspirot

New York Rangers 90.5 → 91.0

Roster +1.0 · coaching -0.3 · returning players -0.1

In: Pavel Dorofeyev, Sean Durzi, Oliver Bjorkstrand

Out: Artemi Panarin, Vincent Trocheck, Scott Morrow

Toronto Maple Leafs 81.5 → 90.5

Roster +5.9 · coaching +3.2 · returning players -0.2

In: Darren Raddysh, Jack Roslovic, Emil Andrae

Out: Bobby McMann, Matias Maccelli, Nicholas Robertson

Injured reserve: Max Domi

New head coach J. Hiller, replacing C. Berube.

San Jose Sharks 86.8 → 90.0

Roster +3.9 · coaching -0.3 · returning players -0.3

In: Jacob Trouba, Mason Marchment, Darnell Nurse

Out: William Eklund, John Klingberg, Pavol Regenda

Anaheim Ducks 93.9 → 89.7

Roster -4.2 · coaching -0.3 · returning players +0.4

In: A.J. Greer, Nick Jensen, Jeff Malott

Out: Jacob Trouba, Chris Kreider, Olen Zellweger

Injured reserve: Troy Terry

Los Angeles Kings 90.9 → 89.1

Roster -0.5 · coaching -0.3 · returning players -0.9

In: Mats Zuccarello, Erik Haula

Out: Anze Kopitar, Andrei Kuzmenko, Jeff Malott

Injured reserve: Kevin Fiala

New head coach P. Laviolette, replacing D. Smith.

Detroit Red Wings 90.7 → 89.1

Roster +0.0 · coaching -0.3 · returning players -1.3

In: Viktor Arvidsson, Keegan Kolesar

Out: Patrick Kane, James van Riemsdyk, David Perron

St. Louis Blues 87.1 → 86.9

Roster +0.2 · coaching -0.3 · returning players +0.1

In: Mason McTavish, Connor McMichael, Ross Johnston

Out: Jordan Kyrou, Justin Faulk, Tyler Tucker

Nashville Predators 88.3 → 86.4

Roster -0.5 · coaching -0.3 · returning players -1.1

In: Ross Colton, Jack Drury, Mavrik Bourque

Out: Luke Evangelista, Nick Blankenburg, Michael Bunting

New York Islanders 87.2 → 84.6

Roster -1.3 · coaching -0.3 · returning players -0.9

In: Matias Maccelli

Out: Anders Lee, Jonathan Drouin, Marshall Warren

Injured reserve: Semyon Varlamov, Pierre Engvall

Seattle Kraken 83.6 → 84.1

Roster +2.0 · coaching -0.3 · returning players -1.1

In: Mackie Samoskevich

Out: Mason Marchment, Jaden Schwartz, Tye Kartye

Winnipeg Jets 85.8 → 83.8

Roster -0.3 · coaching -0.3 · returning players -1.3

In: Jack St. Ivany, Viggo Björck, Mario Ferraro

Out: Logan Stanley, Ville Heinola, Isaak Phillips

Injured reserve: Elias Salomonsson

Chicago Blackhawks 75.8 → 78.2

Roster +4.2 · coaching -0.3 · returning players -1.4

In: Patrick Kane, Bowen Byram, Ian Cole

Out: Louis Crevier, Dominic Toninato, Sacha Boisvert

Connor Bedard: misses the first month, then healthy (Caleb, 2026-09-17) -- plays 72 of 84 games

Calgary Flames 81.3 → 76.3

Roster -3.2 · coaching -0.3 · returning players -1.5

In: Simon Nemec, Jacob Middleton, Maxim Tsyplakov

Out: Rasmus Andersson, Nazem Kadri, Blake Coleman

Injured reserve: Jonathan Huberdeau

Vancouver Canucks 74.7 → 74.9

Roster -1.1 · coaching +3.2 · returning players -2.0

In: Brendan Gallagher, Jamie Oleksiak, Luke Schenn

Out: Quinn Hughes, Kiefer Sherwood, Evander Kane

Injured reserve: Thatcher Demko

New head coach M. Malhotra, replacing A. Foote.

How good is this?

Tested on 11 past seasons: off by 10.3 points per team on average, against 10.9 for last season's points pulled a third of the way to average. Closer in 9 of 11 seasons.

Offseason roster changes are included as an adjustment from projected line combinations (player value aged forward), and so is a head coach hired over the summer (not one who took over midseason last year).

Goaltending swings are the biggest source of error and cannot be forecast from a goalie's history, so they live in the range, not the number.

The range is where the final total landed 80% of the time for past projections, not a guarantee.