Louisville
2026 record
1-1
Against the spread
2-0 ATS
Over / Under
2-0 O/U
Top performers — 2026
Season leaders in each category, by yards. Box-score totals — site context only, never used by the model.
Passing
Lincoln Kienholz QB
639 yds · 4 TD · 50 att
Rushing
Lincoln Kienholz QB
111 yds · 3 TD · 20 car
Receiving
Tre Richardson WR
181 yds · 1 TD · 11 rec
Team stats
National rank in parentheses (1 of 138 FBS teams). Green is good, red is bad, on each stat's own scale.
Plain box-score averages, 2026 season. No opponent adjustment — a soft schedule flatters these numbers.
| Category | Offense | Defense |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 48.5 (17th) | 27.0 (100th) |
| Total yards per game | 563.5 (7th) | 377.5 (100th) |
| Rushing yards per game | 222.5 (30th) | 120.5 (71st) |
| Passing yards per game | 341.0 (9th) | 257.0 (118th) |
| Yards per play | 8.60 (7th) | 5.51 (85th) |
| Third-down conversions | 50.0% (32nd) | 31.2% (43rd) |
Opponent-adjusted efficiency — the model’s own 2026 ratings.
| Category | Offense | Defense |
|---|---|---|
| Overall efficiency (EPA/play) | 0.15 (16th) | 0.04 (84th) |
| Success rate | 3.2% (43rd) | 2.7% (53rd) |
| Explosive plays (15+ yds, all) | 1.8% (19th) | 0.6% (75th) |
| Explosive RUN plays | 3.0% (13th) | 2.4% (22nd) |
| Pass-game success rate | 5.0% (38th) | 5.3% (28th) |
| Line yards per carry | 3.1 (69th) | 2.5 (53rd) |
| Stuff rate (runs at/behind line) | 16.6% (61st) | 11.7% (131st) |
| Power-run success (3rd/4th & short) | 73.3% (73rd) | 48.5% (30th) |
| Havoc rate (TFL/sack/PBU/FF) | 10.4% (27th) | 15.2% (83rd) |
2026 results
ATS = covered the closing spread · O/U = hit the closing total. Graded after the fact, never fed into the model.
| Opponent | Result | ATS | O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 2 | vs Villanova | W 59–13 | ✓ | O |
| Wk 1 | @ Ole Miss | L 38–41 | ✓ | O |
Team fingerprint
LouisvillePercentile vs all FBS · 2026 season. Dashed ring = FBS median.