Kentucky
2026 record
7-1
Against the spread
7-1 ATS
Over / Under
5-3 O/U
Top performers — 2026
Season leaders in each category, by yards. Box-score totals — site context only, never used by the model.
Passing
Kenny Minchey QB
1,755 yds · 14 TD · 232 att
Rushing
CJ Baxter Jr. RB
487 yds · 8 TD · 88 car
Receiving
Kenny Darby WR
507 yds · 3 TD · 38 rec
Team stats
National rank in parentheses (1 of 138 FBS teams). Green is good, red is bad, on each stat's own scale.
Plain box-score averages, 2026 season. No opponent adjustment — a soft schedule flatters these numbers.
| Category | Offense | Defense |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 32.9 (42nd) | 24.8 (75th) |
| Total yards per game | 393.2 (67th) | 368.5 (75th) |
| Rushing yards per game | 174.1 (52nd) | 119.1 (37th) |
| Passing yards per game | 219.1 (79th) | 249.4 (114th) |
| Yards per play | 6.27 (52nd) | 5.62 (68th) |
| Third-down conversions | 34.8% (117th) | 50.4% (133rd) |
Opponent-adjusted efficiency — the model’s own 2026 ratings.
| Category | Offense | Defense |
|---|---|---|
| Overall efficiency (EPA/play) | 0.18 (23rd) | 0.20 (23rd) |
| Success rate | 6.5% (16th) | 0.8% (104th) |
| Explosive plays (15+ yds, all) | 0.0% (94th) | 1.1% (61st) |
| Explosive RUN plays | 1.9% (29th) | 2.4% (31st) |
| Pass-game success rate | 5.1% (43rd) | -0.8% (111th) |
| Line yards per carry | 3.2 (35th) | 2.7 (51st) |
| Stuff rate (runs at/behind line) | 17.2% (52nd) | 18.9% (77th) |
| Power-run success (3rd/4th & short) | 77.5% (46th) | 71.8% (85th) |
| Havoc rate (TFL/sack/PBU/FF) | 12.3% (24th) | 19.3% (20th) |
2026 results
ATS = covered the closing spread · O/U = hit the closing total. Graded after the fact, never fed into the model.
| Opponent | Result | ATS | O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 8 | vs Vanderbilt | W 34–17 | ✓ | U |
| Wk 7 | @ Oklahoma | W 21–13 | ✓ | U |
| Wk 6 | vs LSU | W 35–34 | ✓ | O |
| Wk 5 | @ South Carolina | W 35–34 | ✓ | O |
| Wk 4 | vs South Alabama | W 45–21 | ✓ | O |
| Wk 3 | @ Texas A&M | W 31–21 | ✓ | O |
| Wk 2 | vs Alabama | L 17–45 | ✗ | O |
| Wk 1 | vs Youngstown State | W 45–13 | ✓ | U |
Team fingerprint
KentuckyPercentile vs all FBS · 2026 season. Dashed ring = FBS median.