★1Notre Dame
2026 record
7-1
Against the spread
4-4 ATS
Over / Under
5-3 O/U
Top performers — 2026
Season leaders in each category, by yards. Box-score totals — site context only, never used by the model.
Passing
C.J. Carr QB
1,849 yds · 18 TD · 222 att
Rushing
Nolan James Jr. RB
519 yds · 8 TD · 90 car
Receiving
Jordan Faison WR
497 yds · 4 TD · 38 rec
Team stats
National rank in parentheses (1 of 138 FBS teams). Green is good, red is bad, on each stat's own scale.
Plain box-score averages, 2026 season. No opponent adjustment — a soft schedule flatters these numbers.
| Category | Offense | Defense |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 41.1 (6th) | 13.4 (4th) |
| Total yards per game | 446.9 (24th) | 239.4 (1st) |
| Rushing yards per game | 185.1 (41st) | 71.9 (2nd) |
| Passing yards per game | 261.7 (36th) | 167.6 (15th) |
| Yards per play | 6.57 (32nd) | 4.75 (12th) |
| Third-down conversions | 44.6% (40th) | 42.7% (103rd) |
Opponent-adjusted efficiency — the model’s own 2026 ratings.
| Category | Offense | Defense |
|---|---|---|
| Overall efficiency (EPA/play) | 0.29 (2nd) | 0.29 (4th) |
| Success rate | 8.3% (9th) | 10.0% (5th) |
| Explosive plays (15+ yds, all) | 1.8% (26th) | 4.3% (1st) |
| Explosive RUN plays | 0.1% (72nd) | 4.3% (1st) |
| Pass-game success rate | 11.4% (12th) | 4.4% (53rd) |
| Line yards per carry | 3.2 (38th) | 2.5 (20th) |
| Stuff rate (runs at/behind line) | 14.2% (20th) | 22.5% (34th) |
| Power-run success (3rd/4th & short) | 78.4% (38th) | 50.7% (10th) |
| Havoc rate (TFL/sack/PBU/FF) | 10.4% (7th) | 21.3% (7th) |
2026 results
ATS = covered the closing spread · O/U = hit the closing total. Graded after the fact, never fed into the model.
| Opponent | Result | ATS | O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 9 | @ Navy | W 35–13 | ✗ | U |
| Wk 7 | @ BYU | L 24–28 | ✗ | O |
| Wk 6 | vs Stanford | W 58–7 | ✓ | O |
| Wk 5 | @ North Carolina | W 37–26 | ✗ | O |
| Wk 4 | @ Purdue | W 49–10 | ✓ | O |
| Wk 3 | vs Michigan State | W 27–10 | ✗ | U |
| Wk 2 | vs Rice | W 52–0 | ✓ | U |
| Wk 1 | vs Wisconsin | W 41–13 | ✓ | O |
Team fingerprint
Notre DamePercentile vs all FBS · 2026 season. Dashed ring = FBS median.