Boise State
2026 record
7-1
Against the spread
4-4 ATS
Over / Under
6-2 O/U
Top performers — 2026
Season leaders in each category, by yards. Box-score totals — site context only, never used by the model.
Passing
Maddux Madsen QB
1,681 yds · 15 TD · 222 att
Rushing
Dylan Riley RB
1,049 yds · 9 TD · 165 car
Receiving
Rasean Jones WR
545 yds · 4 TD · 37 rec
Team stats
National rank in parentheses (1 of 138 FBS teams). Green is good, red is bad, on each stat's own scale.
Plain box-score averages, 2026 season. No opponent adjustment — a soft schedule flatters these numbers.
| Category | Offense | Defense |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 34.4 (36th) | 20.6 (38th) |
| Total yards per game | 444.6 (28th) | 351.4 (62nd) |
| Rushing yards per game | 238.7 (7th) | 98.9 (12th) |
| Passing yards per game | 205.9 (93rd) | 252.6 (119th) |
| Yards per play | 6.42 (40th) | 6.29 (114th) |
| Third-down conversions | 50.0% (18th) | 28.7% (5th) |
Opponent-adjusted efficiency — the model’s own 2026 ratings.
| Category | Offense | Defense |
|---|---|---|
| Overall efficiency (EPA/play) | 0.26 (6th) | 0.09 (71st) |
| Success rate | 3.7% (48th) | 4.3% (45th) |
| Explosive plays (15+ yds, all) | 0.4% (81st) | 0.2% (97th) |
| Explosive RUN plays | 1.9% (28th) | 0.4% (84th) |
| Pass-game success rate | 5.9% (40th) | 2.9% (74th) |
| Line yards per carry | 3.4 (13th) | 2.7 (44th) |
| Stuff rate (runs at/behind line) | 12.1% (7th) | 26.1% (9th) |
| Power-run success (3rd/4th & short) | 85.9% (8th) | 58.3% (26th) |
| Havoc rate (TFL/sack/PBU/FF) | 9.1% (5th) | 18.2% (28th) |
2026 results
ATS = covered the closing spread · O/U = hit the closing total. Graded after the fact, never fed into the model.
| Opponent | Result | ATS | O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 9 | vs Texas State | W 46–45 | ✗ | O |
| Wk 8 | @ Washington State | W 31–10 | ✓ | U |
| Wk 6 | @ Fresno State | W 38–31 | ✗ | O |
| Wk 5 | vs Utah State | W 37–18 | ✗ | O |
| Wk 4 | @ Western Michigan | W 32–7 | ✓ | U |
| Wk 3 | vs South Dakota | W 38–24 | ✗ | O |
| Wk 2 | vs Memphis | W 38–20 | ✓ | O |
| Wk 1 | @ Oregon | L 27–34 | ✓ | O |
Team fingerprint
Boise StatePercentile vs all FBS · 2026 season. Dashed ring = FBS median.