Boise State
2026 record
1-1
Against the spread
2-0 ATS
Over / Under
2-0 O/U
Top performers — 2026
Season leaders in each category, by yards. Box-score totals — site context only, never used by the model.
Passing
Maddux Madsen QB
402 yds · 4 TD · 57 att
Rushing
Dylan Riley RB
256 yds · 0 TD · 36 car
Receiving
Rasean Jones WR
137 yds · 0 TD · 7 rec
Team stats
National rank in parentheses (1 of 138 FBS teams). Green is good, red is bad, on each stat's own scale.
Plain box-score averages, 2026 season. No opponent adjustment — a soft schedule flatters these numbers.
| Category | Offense | Defense |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 32.5 (63rd) | 27.0 (100th) |
| Total yards per game | 427.0 (57th) | 512.5 (137th) |
| Rushing yards per game | 226.0 (27th) | 127.0 (77th) |
| Passing yards per game | 201.0 (92nd) | 385.5 (138th) |
| Yards per play | 6.06 (80th) | 8.83 (138th) |
| Third-down conversions | 34.5% (105th) | 25.0% (20th) |
Opponent-adjusted efficiency — the model’s own 2026 ratings.
| Category | Offense | Defense |
|---|---|---|
| Overall efficiency (EPA/play) | 0.10 (40th) | 0.05 (81st) |
| Success rate | -0.5% (110th) | 1.9% (68th) |
| Explosive plays (15+ yds, all) | -1.5% (132nd) | -1.1% (130th) |
| Explosive RUN plays | 1.2% (38th) | -0.7% (115th) |
| Pass-game success rate | -2.6% (112th) | -2.2% (113th) |
| Line yards per carry | 3.5 (28th) | 2.5 (50th) |
| Stuff rate (runs at/behind line) | 11.4% (22nd) | 30.2% (11th) |
| Power-run success (3rd/4th & short) | 90.0% (21st) | 33.3% (11th) |
| Havoc rate (TFL/sack/PBU/FF) | 11.3% (39th) | 20.1% (34th) |
2026 results
ATS = covered the closing spread · O/U = hit the closing total. Graded after the fact, never fed into the model.
| Opponent | Result | ATS | O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 2 | vs Memphis | W 38–20 | ✓ | O |
| Wk 1 | @ Oregon | L 27–34 | ✓ | O |
Team fingerprint
Boise StatePercentile vs all FBS · 2026 season. Dashed ring = FBS median.