Iowa State
2026 record
1-1
Against the spread
1-1 ATS
Over / Under
0-2 O/U
Top performers — 2026
Season leaders in each category, by yards. Box-score totals — site context only, never used by the model.
Passing
Jaylen Raynor QB
301 yds · 3 TD · 35 att
Rushing
Aiden Flora RB
134 yds · 1 TD · 26 car
Receiving
Omari Hayes WR
93 yds · 0 TD · 5 rec
Team stats
National rank in parentheses (1 of 138 FBS teams). Green is good, red is bad, on each stat's own scale.
Plain box-score averages, 2026 season. No opponent adjustment — a soft schedule flatters these numbers.
| Category | Offense | Defense |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 25.5 (91st) | 13.0 (31st) |
| Total yards per game | 279.0 (130th) | 265.5 (37th) |
| Rushing yards per game | 123.0 (112th) | 103.0 (49th) |
| Passing yards per game | 156.0 (121st) | 162.5 (43rd) |
| Yards per play | 5.52 (108th) | 4.35 (26th) |
| Third-down conversions | 34.8% (100th) | 33.3% (50th) |
Opponent-adjusted efficiency — the model’s own 2026 ratings.
| Category | Offense | Defense |
|---|---|---|
| Overall efficiency (EPA/play) | 0.06 (71st) | 0.12 (25th) |
| Success rate | 1.6% (73rd) | 4.7% (17th) |
| Explosive plays (15+ yds, all) | 1.0% (43rd) | 2.7% (3rd) |
| Explosive RUN plays | -0.3% (83rd) | 2.8% (14th) |
| Pass-game success rate | -0.5% (93rd) | 4.3% (38th) |
| Line yards per carry | 2.6 (115th) | 2.5 (55th) |
| Stuff rate (runs at/behind line) | 17.4% (68th) | 15.9% (104th) |
| Power-run success (3rd/4th & short) | 25.0% (133rd) | 61.9% (53rd) |
| Havoc rate (TFL/sack/PBU/FF) | 17.7% (108th) | 16.5% (67th) |
2026 results
ATS = covered the closing spread · O/U = hit the closing total. Graded after the fact, never fed into the model.
| Opponent | Result | ATS | O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 2 | @ Iowa | L 13–16 | ✓ | U |
| Wk 1 | vs Southeast Missouri State | W 38–10 | ✗ | U |
Team fingerprint
Iowa StatePercentile vs all FBS · 2026 season. Dashed ring = FBS median.