South Florida
2026 record
2-0
Against the spread
1-1 ATS
Over / Under
1-1 O/U
Top performers — 2026
Season leaders in each category, by yards. Box-score totals — site context only, never used by the model.
Passing
Michael Van Buren Jr. QB
339 yds · 2 TD · 48 att
Rushing
Jason Collins Jr. RB
99 yds · 0 TD · 26 car
Receiving
Arhmad Branch WR
100 yds · 0 TD · 10 rec
Team stats
National rank in parentheses (1 of 138 FBS teams). Green is good, red is bad, on each stat's own scale.
Plain box-score averages, 2026 season. No opponent adjustment — a soft schedule flatters these numbers.
| Category | Offense | Defense |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 23.5 (103rd) | 16.5 (49th) |
| Total yards per game | 288.5 (126th) | 356.0 (88th) |
| Rushing yards per game | 119.0 (115th) | 148.5 (97th) |
| Passing yards per game | 169.5 (112th) | 207.5 (73rd) |
| Yards per play | 5.20 (119th) | 5.46 (80th) |
| Third-down conversions | 45.8% (58th) | 35.7% (64th) |
Opponent-adjusted efficiency — the model’s own 2026 ratings.
| Category | Offense | Defense |
|---|---|---|
| Overall efficiency (EPA/play) | 0.08 (55th) | 0.09 (51st) |
| Success rate | 3.6% (38th) | 2.1% (66th) |
| Explosive plays (15+ yds, all) | -0.6% (106th) | 2.0% (12th) |
| Explosive RUN plays | -0.9% (99th) | 2.7% (15th) |
| Pass-game success rate | 6.5% (26th) | -1.4% (109th) |
| Line yards per carry | 2.7 (108th) | 2.9 (90th) |
| Stuff rate (runs at/behind line) | 22.2% (108th) | 20.3% (79th) |
| Power-run success (3rd/4th & short) | 90.0% (21st) | 75.0% (79th) |
| Havoc rate (TFL/sack/PBU/FF) | 13.1% (58th) | 13.4% (116th) |
2026 results
ATS = covered the closing spread · O/U = hit the closing total. Graded after the fact, never fed into the model.
| Opponent | Result | ATS | O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 2 | @ Army | W 28–24 | ✓ | O |
| Wk 1 | vs Florida International | W 19–9 | ✗ | U |
Team fingerprint
South FloridaPercentile vs all FBS · 2026 season. Dashed ring = FBS median.