Florida
2026 record
5-3
Against the spread
4-4 ATS
Over / Under
4-4 O/U
Top performers — 2026
Season leaders in each category, by yards. Box-score totals — site context only, never used by the model.
Passing
Aaron Philo QB
1,367 yds · 9 TD · 156 att
Rushing
Jadan Baugh RB
801 yds · 13 TD · 152 car
Receiving
Dallas Wilson WR
417 yds · 3 TD · 31 rec
Team stats
National rank in parentheses (1 of 138 FBS teams). Green is good, red is bad, on each stat's own scale.
Plain box-score averages, 2026 season. No opponent adjustment — a soft schedule flatters these numbers.
| Category | Offense | Defense |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 39.6 (9th) | 28.3 (106th) |
| Total yards per game | 450.7 (21st) | 382.3 (96th) |
| Rushing yards per game | 194.1 (33rd) | 127.3 (44th) |
| Passing yards per game | 256.6 (39th) | 255.0 (123rd) |
| Yards per play | 6.39 (42nd) | 5.79 (79th) |
| Third-down conversions | 46.7% (30th) | 44.6% (117th) |
Opponent-adjusted efficiency — the model’s own 2026 ratings.
| Category | Offense | Defense |
|---|---|---|
| Overall efficiency (EPA/play) | 0.20 (18th) | 0.14 (48th) |
| Success rate | 6.8% (15th) | 2.0% (84th) |
| Explosive plays (15+ yds, all) | 2.4% (18th) | 0.2% (95th) |
| Explosive RUN plays | 0.5% (60th) | 1.6% (50th) |
| Pass-game success rate | 11.3% (13th) | 1.9% (86th) |
| Line yards per carry | 2.8 (103rd) | 2.8 (59th) |
| Stuff rate (runs at/behind line) | 19.4% (90th) | 15.8% (118th) |
| Power-run success (3rd/4th & short) | 85.7% (9th) | 76.7% (114th) |
| Havoc rate (TFL/sack/PBU/FF) | 12.9% (28th) | 19.7% (14th) |
2026 results
ATS = covered the closing spread · O/U = hit the closing total. Graded after the fact, never fed into the model.
| Opponent | Result | ATS | O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 9 | @ Georgia | L 8–27 | ✗ | U |
| Wk 7 | @ Texas | W 27–24 | ✓ | U |
| Wk 6 | vs South Carolina | L 19–38 | ✗ | U |
| Wk 5 | @ Missouri | L 17–45 | ✗ | O |
| Wk 4 | vs Ole Miss | W 52–28 | ✓ | O |
| Wk 3 | @ Auburn | W 44–39 | ✓ | O |
| Wk 2 | vs Campbell | W 52–3 | ✗ | U |
| Wk 1 | vs Florida Atlantic | W 66–21 | ✓ | O |
Team fingerprint
FloridaPercentile vs all FBS · 2026 season. Dashed ring = FBS median.