Jacksonville State
2026 record
6-2
Against the spread
4-3 ATS
Over / Under
5-3 O/U
Top performers — 2026
Season leaders in each category, by yards. Box-score totals — site context only, never used by the model.
Passing
Caden Creel QB
1,746 yds · 13 TD · 209 att
Rushing
Caden Creel QB
711 yds · 5 TD · 126 car
Receiving
Deondre Johnson WR
438 yds · 3 TD · 23 rec
Team stats
National rank in parentheses (1 of 138 FBS teams). Green is good, red is bad, on each stat's own scale.
Plain box-score averages, 2026 season. No opponent adjustment — a soft schedule flatters these numbers.
| Category | Offense | Defense |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 27.3 (79th) | 22.7 (56th) |
| Total yards per game | 391.1 (68th) | 344.6 (55th) |
| Rushing yards per game | 150.7 (82nd) | 155.0 (89th) |
| Passing yards per game | 240.4 (56th) | 189.6 (39th) |
| Yards per play | 6.67 (29th) | 5.49 (61st) |
| Third-down conversions | 45.7% (34th) | 47.4% (129th) |
Opponent-adjusted efficiency — the model’s own 2026 ratings.
| Category | Offense | Defense |
|---|---|---|
| Overall efficiency (EPA/play) | 0.06 (75th) | 0.01 (107th) |
| Success rate | 4.3% (36th) | 1.0% (99th) |
| Explosive plays (15+ yds, all) | 2.1% (21st) | 1.6% (45th) |
| Explosive RUN plays | 0.7% (58th) | 1.2% (58th) |
| Pass-game success rate | 5.4% (42nd) | 2.4% (80th) |
| Line yards per carry | 3.0 (60th) | 3.0 (97th) |
| Stuff rate (runs at/behind line) | 19.3% (89th) | 16.3% (107th) |
| Power-run success (3rd/4th & short) | 80.7% (26th) | 89.6% (136th) |
| Havoc rate (TFL/sack/PBU/FF) | 14.1% (56th) | 15.2% (89th) |
2026 results
ATS = covered the closing spread · O/U = hit the closing total. Graded after the fact, never fed into the model.
| Opponent | Result | ATS | O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 9 | @ New Mexico State | W 24–0 | ✓ | U |
| Wk 7 | vs Florida International | W 27–24 | P | O |
| Wk 6 | @ Kennesaw State | W 27–26 | ✗ | O |
| Wk 4 | vs Middle Tennessee | W 23–13 | ✓ | U |
| Wk 3 | vs Georgia Southern | W 31–27 | ✓ | O |
| Wk 2 | @ Ohio | L 27–29 | ✗ | O |
| Wk 1 | vs Eastern Kentucky | W 49–7 | ✓ | O |
| Wk 1 | @ North Dakota State | L 7–33 | ✗ | U |
Team fingerprint
Jacksonville StatePercentile vs all FBS · 2026 season. Dashed ring = FBS median.