Florida State
2026 record
3-5
Against the spread
3-4 ATS
Over / Under
4-4 O/U
Top performers — 2026
Season leaders in each category, by yards. Box-score totals — site context only, never used by the model.
Passing
Ashton Daniels QB
1,968 yds · 14 TD · 214 att
Rushing
Ousmane Kromah RB
609 yds · 5 TD · 114 car
Receiving
Duce Robinson WR
438 yds · 4 TD · 24 rec
Team stats
National rank in parentheses (1 of 138 FBS teams). Green is good, red is bad, on each stat's own scale.
Plain box-score averages, 2026 season. No opponent adjustment — a soft schedule flatters these numbers.
| Category | Offense | Defense |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 31.6 (50th) | 27.9 (103rd) |
| Total yards per game | 411.6 (53rd) | 434.1 (130th) |
| Rushing yards per game | 177.7 (50th) | 181.3 (112th) |
| Passing yards per game | 233.9 (61st) | 252.9 (120th) |
| Yards per play | 6.46 (36th) | 6.29 (113th) |
| Third-down conversions | 42.7% (60th) | 42.9% (106th) |
Opponent-adjusted efficiency — the model’s own 2026 ratings.
| Category | Offense | Defense |
|---|---|---|
| Overall efficiency (EPA/play) | 0.19 (21st) | 0.03 (92nd) |
| Success rate | 3.8% (43rd) | 3.4% (54th) |
| Explosive plays (15+ yds, all) | 1.5% (40th) | 0.1% (99th) |
| Explosive RUN plays | 1.4% (43rd) | -0.3% (98th) |
| Pass-game success rate | 1.0% (82nd) | 3.4% (67th) |
| Line yards per carry | 3.4 (17th) | 3.1 (115th) |
| Stuff rate (runs at/behind line) | 12.5% (8th) | 16.8% (102nd) |
| Power-run success (3rd/4th & short) | 76.0% (53rd) | 76.2% (110th) |
| Havoc rate (TFL/sack/PBU/FF) | 13.3% (42nd) | 14.5% (97th) |
2026 results
ATS = covered the closing spread · O/U = hit the closing total. Graded after the fact, never fed into the model.
| Opponent | Result | ATS | O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 9 | vs Clemson | L 24–36 | ✗ | O |
| Wk 7 | @ Miami | L 35–43 | ✓ | O |
| Wk 6 | @ Louisville | L 20–44 | ✗ | O |
| Wk 5 | vs Virginia | W 38–7 | ✓ | U |
| Wk 4 | vs Central Arkansas | W 34–7 | ✗ | U |
| Wk 3 | @ Alabama | L 36–50 | ✓ | O |
| Wk 1 | vs SMU | L 24–27 | P | U |
| Wk 1 | vs New Mexico State | W 34–17 | ✗ | U |
Team fingerprint
Florida StatePercentile vs all FBS · 2026 season. Dashed ring = FBS median.