Season leaders in each category, by yards. Box-score totals — site context only, never used by the model.
National rank in parentheses (1 of 138 FBS teams). Green is good, red is bad, on each stat's own scale.
Plain box-score averages, 2026 season. No opponent adjustment — a soft schedule flatters these numbers.
| Category | Offense | Defense |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 28.3 (71st) | 28.4 (107th) |
| Total yards per game | 381.3 (75th) | 404.7 (113th) |
| Rushing yards per game | 117.3 (119th) | 133.4 (54th) |
| Passing yards per game | 264.0 (33rd) | 271.3 (132nd) |
| Yards per play | 6.05 (67th) | 6.11 (99th) |
| Third-down conversions | 34.8% (116th) | 37.4% (54th) |
Opponent-adjusted efficiency — the model’s own 2026 ratings.
| Category | Offense | Defense |
|---|---|---|
| Overall efficiency (EPA/play) | 0.02 (87th) | -0.02 (121st) |
| Success rate | -0.1% (108th) | -1.9% (127th) |
| Explosive plays (15+ yds, all) | 1.6% (35th) | -0.9% (124th) |
| Explosive RUN plays | -2.1% (127th) | 0.1% (92nd) |
| Pass-game success rate | 0.7% (85th) | -5.1% (131st) |
| Line yards per carry | 3.0 (77th) | 2.9 (72nd) |
| Stuff rate (runs at/behind line) | 19.5% (91st) | 17.9% (90th) |
| Power-run success (3rd/4th & short) | 68.3% (87th) | 71.0% (79th) |
| Havoc rate (TFL/sack/PBU/FF) | 18.1% (124th) | 17.3% (47th) |
ATS = covered the closing spread · O/U = hit the closing total. Graded after the fact, never fed into the model.
| Opponent | Result | ATS | O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 9 | @ Western Kentucky | W 35–21 | ✓ | O |
| Wk 8 | vs Missouri State | W 61–38 | ✓ | O |
| Wk 7 | @ Middle Tennessee | L 30–33 | ✗ | O |
| Wk 5 | vs Liberty | L 14–30 | ✗ | U |
| Wk 4 | @ Virginia | L 3–42 | ✗ | U |
| Wk 3 | vs Coastal Carolina | W 22–14 | ✓ | U |
| Wk 2 | @ Vanderbilt | L 26–35 | ✓ | O |
| Wk 1 | vs Merrimack | W 42–7 | ✓ | U |