Illinois
2026 record
1-1
Against the spread
0-2 ATS
Over / Under
2-0 O/U
Top performers — 2026
Season leaders in each category, by yards. Box-score totals — site context only, never used by the model.
Passing
Katin Houser QB
453 yds · 6 TD · 52 att
Rushing
Ca'Lil Valentine RB
144 yds · 1 TD · 29 car
Receiving
Collin Dixon WR
236 yds · 5 TD · 17 rec
Team stats
National rank in parentheses (1 of 138 FBS teams). Green is good, red is bad, on each stat's own scale.
Plain box-score averages, 2026 season. No opponent adjustment — a soft schedule flatters these numbers.
| Category | Offense | Defense |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 34.5 (55th) | 27.0 (100th) |
| Total yards per game | 357.0 (101st) | 393.0 (107th) |
| Rushing yards per game | 130.5 (105th) | 182.0 (115th) |
| Passing yards per game | 226.5 (69th) | 211.0 (78th) |
| Yards per play | 6.60 (51st) | 6.35 (115th) |
| Third-down conversions | 50.0% (32nd) | 42.9% (99th) |
Opponent-adjusted efficiency — the model’s own 2026 ratings.
| Category | Offense | Defense |
|---|---|---|
| Overall efficiency (EPA/play) | 0.13 (20th) | -0.08 (136th) |
| Success rate | 4.5% (23rd) | -0.3% (117th) |
| Explosive plays (15+ yds, all) | 0.6% (55th) | 1.2% (37th) |
| Explosive RUN plays | 0.1% (69th) | -0.5% (106th) |
| Pass-game success rate | 13.4% (4th) | -4.2% (128th) |
| Line yards per carry | 2.9 (84th) | 3.0 (101st) |
| Stuff rate (runs at/behind line) | 14.7% (46th) | 19.4% (84th) |
| Power-run success (3rd/4th & short) | 63.3% (96th) | 67.5% (69th) |
| Havoc rate (TFL/sack/PBU/FF) | 5.1% (3rd) | 12.2% (122nd) |
2026 results
ATS = covered the closing spread · O/U = hit the closing total. Graded after the fact, never fed into the model.
| Opponent | Result | ATS | O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 2 | vs Duke | L 27–31 | ✗ | O |
| Wk 1 | vs UAB | W 42–23 | ✗ | O |
Team fingerprint
IllinoisPercentile vs all FBS · 2026 season. Dashed ring = FBS median.