Mississippi State
2026 record
2-0
Against the spread
2-0 ATS
Over / Under
1-1 O/U
Top performers — 2026
Season leaders in each category, by yards. Box-score totals — site context only, never used by the model.
Passing
Kamario Taylor QB
581 yds · 7 TD · 56 att
Rushing
Fluff Bothwell RB
165 yds · 2 TD · 27 car
Receiving
Anthony Evans III WR
239 yds · 2 TD · 14 rec
Team stats
National rank in parentheses (1 of 138 FBS teams). Green is good, red is bad, on each stat's own scale.
Plain box-score averages, 2026 season. No opponent adjustment — a soft schedule flatters these numbers.
| Category | Offense | Defense |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 50.0 (14th) | 13.0 (31st) |
| Total yards per game | 623.0 (2nd) | 285.5 (47th) |
| Rushing yards per game | 301.0 (10th) | 76.0 (16th) |
| Passing yards per game | 322.0 (18th) | 209.5 (76th) |
| Yards per play | 8.53 (8th) | 3.93 (14th) |
| Third-down conversions | 52.4% (30th) | 24.1% (18th) |
Opponent-adjusted efficiency — the model’s own 2026 ratings.
| Category | Offense | Defense |
|---|---|---|
| Overall efficiency (EPA/play) | 0.17 (12th) | 0.09 (47th) |
| Success rate | 5.2% (9th) | 4.1% (27th) |
| Explosive plays (15+ yds, all) | 2.1% (10th) | 2.1% (11th) |
| Explosive RUN plays | 2.1% (22nd) | 2.0% (35th) |
| Pass-game success rate | 9.4% (11th) | 3.7% (43rd) |
| Line yards per carry | 3.8 (15th) | 2.3 (35th) |
| Stuff rate (runs at/behind line) | 16.5% (60th) | 20.6% (74th) |
| Power-run success (3rd/4th & short) | 83.3% (37th) | 50.0% (31st) |
| Havoc rate (TFL/sack/PBU/FF) | 10.5% (30th) | 13.9% (109th) |
2026 results
ATS = covered the closing spread · O/U = hit the closing total. Graded after the fact, never fed into the model.
| Opponent | Result | ATS | O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 2 | @ Minnesota | W 38–13 | ✓ | U |
| Wk 1 | vs UL Monroe | W 62–13 | ✓ | O |
Team fingerprint
Mississippi StatePercentile vs all FBS · 2026 season. Dashed ring = FBS median.