Mississippi State
2026 record
4-4
Against the spread
4-4 ATS
Over / Under
3-5 O/U
Top performers — 2026
Season leaders in each category, by yards. Box-score totals — site context only, never used by the model.
Passing
Kamario Taylor QB
1,460 yds · 17 TD · 159 att
Rushing
Fluff Bothwell RB
563 yds · 3 TD · 108 car
Receiving
Anthony Evans III WR
666 yds · 5 TD · 56 rec
Team stats
National rank in parentheses (1 of 138 FBS teams). Green is good, red is bad, on each stat's own scale.
Plain box-score averages, 2026 season. No opponent adjustment — a soft schedule flatters these numbers.
| Category | Offense | Defense |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 30.0 (61st) | 27.7 (102nd) |
| Total yards per game | 440.0 (29th) | 387.7 (102nd) |
| Rushing yards per game | 179.1 (49th) | 123.9 (40th) |
| Passing yards per game | 260.9 (37th) | 263.9 (126th) |
| Yards per play | 6.56 (33rd) | 5.48 (57th) |
| Third-down conversions | 43.8% (50th) | 41.0% (91st) |
Opponent-adjusted efficiency — the model’s own 2026 ratings.
| Category | Offense | Defense |
|---|---|---|
| Overall efficiency (EPA/play) | 0.19 (20th) | 0.10 (66th) |
| Success rate | 9.0% (6th) | 0.9% (100th) |
| Explosive plays (15+ yds, all) | 3.5% (6th) | 2.7% (14th) |
| Explosive RUN plays | 1.9% (30th) | 2.9% (21st) |
| Pass-game success rate | 9.2% (19th) | 1.2% (93rd) |
| Line yards per carry | 3.0 (67th) | 2.9 (85th) |
| Stuff rate (runs at/behind line) | 21.3% (117th) | 16.3% (108th) |
| Power-run success (3rd/4th & short) | 69.5% (80th) | 76.2% (110th) |
| Havoc rate (TFL/sack/PBU/FF) | 15.6% (83rd) | 15.2% (88th) |
2026 results
ATS = covered the closing spread · O/U = hit the closing total. Graded after the fact, never fed into the model.
| Opponent | Result | ATS | O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 9 | @ Texas | L 3–31 | ✗ | U |
| Wk 8 | vs Oklahoma | L 15–23 | ✗ | U |
| Wk 7 | @ LSU | L 0–31 | ✗ | U |
| Wk 5 | vs Alabama | L 23–56 | ✗ | O |
| Wk 4 | vs Missouri | W 31–24 | ✓ | U |
| Wk 3 | @ South Carolina | W 41–34 | ✓ | O |
| Wk 2 | @ Minnesota | W 38–13 | ✓ | U |
| Wk 1 | vs UL Monroe | W 62–13 | ✓ | O |
Team fingerprint
Mississippi StatePercentile vs all FBS · 2026 season. Dashed ring = FBS median.