★15USC
2026 record
7-2
Against the spread
3-6 ATS
Over / Under
4-5 O/U
Top performers — 2026
Season leaders in each category, by yards. Box-score totals — site context only, never used by the model.
Passing
Jayden Maiava QB
2,525 yds · 20 TD · 296 att
Rushing
King Miller RB
681 yds · 5 TD · 138 car
Receiving
Trent Mosley WR
512 yds · 6 TD · 32 rec
Team stats
National rank in parentheses (1 of 138 FBS teams). Green is good, red is bad, on each stat's own scale.
Plain box-score averages, 2026 season. No opponent adjustment — a soft schedule flatters these numbers.
| Category | Offense | Defense |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 32.8 (44th) | 25.0 (77th) |
| Total yards per game | 435.8 (34th) | 328.6 (42nd) |
| Rushing yards per game | 132.4 (109th) | 116.2 (33rd) |
| Passing yards per game | 303.4 (9th) | 212.4 (77th) |
| Yards per play | 6.37 (46th) | 5.81 (81st) |
| Third-down conversions | 51.0% (15th) | 36.0% (40th) |
Opponent-adjusted efficiency — the model’s own 2026 ratings.
| Category | Offense | Defense |
|---|---|---|
| Overall efficiency (EPA/play) | 0.26 (8th) | 0.08 (74th) |
| Success rate | 10.0% (2nd) | 1.8% (87th) |
| Explosive plays (15+ yds, all) | 1.6% (36th) | 1.1% (59th) |
| Explosive RUN plays | -2.1% (126th) | 2.6% (28th) |
| Pass-game success rate | 16.6% (2nd) | 2.4% (81st) |
| Line yards per carry | 3.0 (79th) | 2.8 (58th) |
| Stuff rate (runs at/behind line) | 20.9% (109th) | 18.3% (84th) |
| Power-run success (3rd/4th & short) | 65.6% (99th) | 66.6% (56th) |
| Havoc rate (TFL/sack/PBU/FF) | 11.5% (14th) | 13.1% (121st) |
2026 results
ATS = covered the closing spread · O/U = hit the closing total. Graded after the fact, never fed into the model.
| Opponent | Result | ATS | O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 9 | vs Ohio State | W 30–18 | ✓ | U |
| Wk 8 | @ Wisconsin | L 7–24 | ✗ | U |
| Wk 6 | @ Penn State | W 31–23 | ✓ | U |
| Wk 5 | vs Washington | W 25–21 | ✗ | U |
| Wk 4 | vs Oregon | L 27–41 | ✗ | O |
| Wk 3 | @ Rutgers | W 42–35 | ✗ | O |
| Wk 2 | vs Louisiana | W 49–30 | ✗ | O |
| Wk 1 | vs Fresno State | W 39–0 | ✓ | U |
| Wk 1 | vs San José State | W 42–26 | ✗ | O |
Team fingerprint
USCPercentile vs all FBS · 2026 season. Dashed ring = FBS median.