Wisconsin
2026 record
5-3
Against the spread
4-4 ATS
Over / Under
3-5 O/U
Top performers — 2026
Season leaders in each category, by yards. Box-score totals — site context only, never used by the model.
Passing
Colton Joseph QB
1,346 yds · 11 TD · 187 att
Rushing
Colton Joseph QB
371 yds · 4 TD · 91 car
Receiving
Tyrell Henry WR
397 yds · 1 TD · 30 rec
Team stats
National rank in parentheses (1 of 138 FBS teams). Green is good, red is bad, on each stat's own scale.
Plain box-score averages, 2026 season. No opponent adjustment — a soft schedule flatters these numbers.
| Category | Offense | Defense |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 27.0 (80th) | 15.3 (11th) |
| Total yards per game | 328.4 (121st) | 285.6 (14th) |
| Rushing yards per game | 149.9 (83rd) | 101.7 (18th) |
| Passing yards per game | 178.6 (119th) | 183.9 (29th) |
| Yards per play | 6.01 (71st) | 4.44 (3rd) |
| Third-down conversions | 46.1% (33rd) | 41.7% (98th) |
Opponent-adjusted efficiency — the model’s own 2026 ratings.
| Category | Offense | Defense |
|---|---|---|
| Overall efficiency (EPA/play) | 0.07 (72nd) | 0.28 (5th) |
| Success rate | 1.2% (91st) | 7.2% (12th) |
| Explosive plays (15+ yds, all) | 0.7% (67th) | 3.4% (4th) |
| Explosive RUN plays | -0.3% (93rd) | 3.3% (12th) |
| Pass-game success rate | 1.3% (78th) | 7.7% (21st) |
| Line yards per carry | 3.0 (61st) | 2.7 (46th) |
| Stuff rate (runs at/behind line) | 15.5% (27th) | 15.8% (119th) |
| Power-run success (3rd/4th & short) | 69.4% (82nd) | 70.0% (75th) |
| Havoc rate (TFL/sack/PBU/FF) | 15.1% (76th) | 17.1% (49th) |
2026 results
ATS = covered the closing spread · O/U = hit the closing total. Graded after the fact, never fed into the model.
| Opponent | Result | ATS | O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 9 | @ Iowa | L 0–30 | ✗ | U |
| Wk 8 | vs USC | W 24–7 | ✓ | U |
| Wk 7 | @ UCLA | L 7–17 | ✗ | U |
| Wk 5 | vs Michigan State | W 31–3 | ✓ | U |
| Wk 4 | @ Penn State | W 24–20 | ✓ | O |
| Wk 3 | vs Eastern Michigan | W 54–10 | ✓ | O |
| Wk 2 | vs Western Illinois | W 36–9 | ✗ | U |
| Wk 1 | @ Notre Dame | L 13–41 | ✗ | O |
Team fingerprint
WisconsinPercentile vs all FBS · 2026 season. Dashed ring = FBS median.