Troy
2026 record
4-4
Against the spread
3-5 ATS
Over / Under
1-7 O/U
Top performers — 2026
Season leaders in each category, by yards. Box-score totals — site context only, never used by the model.
Passing
Will Crowder QB
1,162 yds · 9 TD · 183 att
Rushing
Gavin Griffin RB
436 yds · 3 TD · 98 car
Receiving
TK Keyes WR
282 yds · 3 TD · 13 rec
Team stats
National rank in parentheses (1 of 138 FBS teams). Green is good, red is bad, on each stat's own scale.
Plain box-score averages, 2026 season. No opponent adjustment — a soft schedule flatters these numbers.
| Category | Offense | Defense |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 22.9 (105th) | 24.9 (76th) |
| Total yards per game | 383.4 (72nd) | 329.6 (43rd) |
| Rushing yards per game | 204.6 (24th) | 132.9 (53rd) |
| Passing yards per game | 178.9 (118th) | 196.7 (46th) |
| Yards per play | 5.80 (90th) | 5.22 (37th) |
| Third-down conversions | 34.0% (121st) | 33.7% (24th) |
Opponent-adjusted efficiency — the model’s own 2026 ratings.
| Category | Offense | Defense |
|---|---|---|
| Overall efficiency (EPA/play) | 0.02 (91st) | -0.00 (115th) |
| Success rate | 0.7% (98th) | 1.2% (95th) |
| Explosive plays (15+ yds, all) | -0.2% (106th) | 0.1% (103rd) |
| Explosive RUN plays | 1.6% (37th) | 0.1% (88th) |
| Pass-game success rate | -0.6% (96th) | 1.7% (89th) |
| Line yards per carry | 3.0 (72nd) | 2.7 (56th) |
| Stuff rate (runs at/behind line) | 16.2% (39th) | 20.7% (56th) |
| Power-run success (3rd/4th & short) | 68.6% (85th) | 69.0% (69th) |
| Havoc rate (TFL/sack/PBU/FF) | 17.8% (119th) | 16.0% (69th) |
2026 results
ATS = covered the closing spread · O/U = hit the closing total. Graded after the fact, never fed into the model.
| Opponent | Result | ATS | O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 9 | @ James Madison | W 24–21 | ✓ | U |
| Wk 8 | vs UL Monroe | L 14–21 | ✗ | U |
| Wk 7 | @ Louisiana | L 6–33 | ✗ | U |
| Wk 6 | vs Southern Miss | W 55–34 | ✓ | O |
| Wk 4 | @ Utah State | L 10–21 | ✗ | U |
| Wk 3 | @ Missouri | L 17–27 | ✓ | U |
| Wk 2 | vs Alabama State | W 34–17 | ✗ | U |
| Wk 1 | vs Sam Houston | W 24–21 | ✗ | U |
Team fingerprint
TroyPercentile vs all FBS · 2026 season. Dashed ring = FBS median.