Season leaders in each category, by yards. Box-score totals — site context only, never used by the model.
National rank in parentheses (1 of 138 FBS teams). Green is good, red is bad, on each stat's own scale.
Plain box-score averages, 2026 season. No opponent adjustment — a soft schedule flatters these numbers.
| Category | Offense | Defense |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 35.9 (27th) | 20.4 (36th) |
| Total yards per game | 407.1 (56th) | 374.1 (86th) |
| Rushing yards per game | 185.7 (40th) | 108.1 (24th) |
| Passing yards per game | 221.4 (74th) | 266.0 (128th) |
| Yards per play | 6.10 (59th) | 5.71 (74th) |
| Third-down conversions | 39.3% (89th) | 39.4% (79th) |
Opponent-adjusted efficiency — the model’s own 2026 ratings.
| Category | Offense | Defense |
|---|---|---|
| Overall efficiency (EPA/play) | 0.10 (57th) | 0.26 (11th) |
| Success rate | 4.8% (30th) | 5.6% (23rd) |
| Explosive plays (15+ yds, all) | 0.2% (88th) | 0.0% (105th) |
| Explosive RUN plays | 1.3% (45th) | 1.2% (61st) |
| Pass-game success rate | 6.6% (34th) | 2.7% (76th) |
| Line yards per carry | 3.2 (28th) | 2.8 (69th) |
| Stuff rate (runs at/behind line) | 19.2% (86th) | 20.2% (62nd) |
| Power-run success (3rd/4th & short) | 66.4% (95th) | 59.5% (30th) |
| Havoc rate (TFL/sack/PBU/FF) | 19.1% (130th) | 17.4% (41st) |
ATS = covered the closing spread · O/U = hit the closing total. Graded after the fact, never fed into the model.
| Opponent | Result | ATS | O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 9 | vs Arizona | W 34–26 | ✓ | O |
| Wk 8 | @ Cincinnati | L 24–37 | ✗ | O |
| Wk 7 | vs Arizona State | W 53–25 | ✓ | O |
| Wk 5 | @ Colorado | W 29–7 | ✓ | U |
| Wk 4 | vs Sam Houston | W 49–14 | ✓ | O |
| Wk 3 | vs Houston | W 28–26 | ✗ | O |
| Wk 2 | @ Oregon State | W 35–24 | ✗ | O |
| Wk 1 | vs Abilene Christian | W 33–10 | ✗ | U |