★18Tennessee
2026 record
2-0
Against the spread
1-1 ATS
Over / Under
1-1 O/U
Top performers — 2026
Season leaders in each category, by yards. Box-score totals — site context only, never used by the model.
Passing
Faizon Brandon QB
374 yds · 5 TD · 38 att
Rushing
DeSean Bishop RB
244 yds · 3 TD · 34 car
Receiving
Mike Matthews WR
148 yds · 2 TD · 6 rec
Team stats
National rank in parentheses (1 of 138 FBS teams). Green is good, red is bad, on each stat's own scale.
Plain box-score averages, 2026 season. No opponent adjustment — a soft schedule flatters these numbers.
| Category | Offense | Defense |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 50.5 (13th) | 16.5 (49th) |
| Total yards per game | 541.5 (11th) | 292.5 (49th) |
| Rushing yards per game | 313.0 (6th) | 157.0 (102nd) |
| Passing yards per game | 228.5 (67th) | 135.5 (23rd) |
| Yards per play | 7.85 (17th) | 4.98 (51st) |
| Third-down conversions | 54.2% (23rd) | 40.7% (88th) |
Opponent-adjusted efficiency — the model’s own 2026 ratings.
| Category | Offense | Defense |
|---|---|---|
| Overall efficiency (EPA/play) | 0.17 (10th) | 0.12 (30th) |
| Success rate | 3.9% (34th) | 2.3% (59th) |
| Explosive plays (15+ yds, all) | 1.5% (27th) | 1.3% (29th) |
| Explosive RUN plays | 2.7% (18th) | -2.4% (130th) |
| Pass-game success rate | -0.0% (88th) | 3.0% (51st) |
| Line yards per carry | 3.7 (19th) | 3.5 (134th) |
| Stuff rate (runs at/behind line) | 12.3% (28th) | 17.5% (95th) |
| Power-run success (3rd/4th & short) | 81.7% (46th) | 50.0% (31st) |
| Havoc rate (TFL/sack/PBU/FF) | 12.7% (54th) | 24.4% (14th) |
2026 results
ATS = covered the closing spread · O/U = hit the closing total. Graded after the fact, never fed into the model.
| Opponent | Result | ATS | O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 2 | @ Georgia Tech | W 45–24 | ✓ | O |
| Wk 1 | vs Furman | W 56–9 | ✗ | U |
Team fingerprint
TennesseePercentile vs all FBS · 2026 season. Dashed ring = FBS median.