★12Tennessee
2026 record
6-2
Against the spread
4-4 ATS
Over / Under
2-6 O/U
Top performers — 2026
Season leaders in each category, by yards. Box-score totals — site context only, never used by the model.
Passing
George MacIntyre QB
728 yds · 2 TD · 103 att
Rushing
DeSean Bishop RB
957 yds · 11 TD · 171 car
Receiving
Mike Matthews WR
528 yds · 3 TD · 34 rec
Team stats
National rank in parentheses (1 of 138 FBS teams). Green is good, red is bad, on each stat's own scale.
Plain box-score averages, 2026 season. No opponent adjustment — a soft schedule flatters these numbers.
| Category | Offense | Defense |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 32.2 (48th) | 16.2 (20th) |
| Total yards per game | 400.1 (59th) | 305.4 (23rd) |
| Rushing yards per game | 218.6 (15th) | 139.5 (64th) |
| Passing yards per game | 181.5 (115th) | 165.9 (12th) |
| Yards per play | 5.91 (79th) | 5.22 (38th) |
| Third-down conversions | 40.0% (82nd) | 33.0% (17th) |
Opponent-adjusted efficiency — the model’s own 2026 ratings.
| Category | Offense | Defense |
|---|---|---|
| Overall efficiency (EPA/play) | 0.12 (42nd) | 0.28 (6th) |
| Success rate | 3.7% (47th) | 5.8% (22nd) |
| Explosive plays (15+ yds, all) | -0.5% (110th) | 3.4% (5th) |
| Explosive RUN plays | 1.6% (38th) | 0.5% (81st) |
| Pass-game success rate | 1.2% (79th) | 6.1% (33rd) |
| Line yards per carry | 3.2 (25th) | 2.9 (90th) |
| Stuff rate (runs at/behind line) | 14.9% (22nd) | 19.7% (68th) |
| Power-run success (3rd/4th & short) | 79.3% (34th) | 68.8% (66th) |
| Havoc rate (TFL/sack/PBU/FF) | 15.2% (78th) | 23.0% (4th) |
2026 results
ATS = covered the closing spread · O/U = hit the closing total. Graded after the fact, never fed into the model.
| Opponent | Result | ATS | O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 8 | @ South Carolina | L 24–27 | ✗ | O |
| Wk 7 | vs Alabama | W 26–10 | ✓ | U |
| Wk 6 | @ Arkansas | W 24–17 | ✗ | U |
| Wk 5 | vs Auburn | W 24–14 | ✓ | U |
| Wk 4 | vs Texas | L 17–20 | ✓ | U |
| Wk 3 | vs Kennesaw State | W 42–9 | ✗ | U |
| Wk 2 | @ Georgia Tech | W 45–24 | ✓ | O |
| Wk 1 | vs Furman | W 56–9 | ✗ | U |
Team fingerprint
TennesseePercentile vs all FBS · 2026 season. Dashed ring = FBS median.