TCU
2026 record
1-1
Against the spread
1-1 ATS
Over / Under
1-1 O/U
Top performers — 2026
Season leaders in each category, by yards. Box-score totals — site context only, never used by the model.
Passing
Jaden Craig QB
566 yds · 4 TD · 63 att
Rushing
Jeremy Payne RB
221 yds · 0 TD · 34 car
Receiving
Ed Small WR
166 yds · 0 TD · 14 rec
Team stats
National rank in parentheses (1 of 138 FBS teams). Green is good, red is bad, on each stat's own scale.
Plain box-score averages, 2026 season. No opponent adjustment — a soft schedule flatters these numbers.
| Category | Offense | Defense |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 36.5 (46th) | 11.0 (18th) |
| Total yards per game | 483.0 (30th) | 259.5 (29th) |
| Rushing yards per game | 200.0 (44th) | 53.5 (5th) |
| Passing yards per game | 283.0 (34th) | 206.0 (70th) |
| Yards per play | 7.10 (33rd) | 5.48 (81st) |
| Third-down conversions | 37.5% (92nd) | 20.0% (7th) |
Opponent-adjusted efficiency — the model’s own 2026 ratings.
| Category | Offense | Defense |
|---|---|---|
| Overall efficiency (EPA/play) | 0.08 (50th) | 0.08 (57th) |
| Success rate | 2.0% (67th) | 1.6% (74th) |
| Explosive plays (15+ yds, all) | 1.2% (37th) | 0.4% (84th) |
| Explosive RUN plays | 0.1% (68th) | 2.5% (18th) |
| Pass-game success rate | -0.3% (92nd) | 1.4% (79th) |
| Line yards per carry | 3.5 (27th) | 2.3 (36th) |
| Stuff rate (runs at/behind line) | 13.9% (41st) | 24.7% (38th) |
| Power-run success (3rd/4th & short) | 81.7% (46th) | 0.0% (1st) |
| Havoc rate (TFL/sack/PBU/FF) | 11.2% (36th) | 23.5% (20th) |
2026 results
ATS = covered the closing spread · O/U = hit the closing total. Graded after the fact, never fed into the model.
| Opponent | Result | ATS | O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 2 | vs Grambling | W 63–7 | ✓ | O |
| Wk 1 | vs North Carolina | L 10–15 | ✗ | U |
Team fingerprint
TCUPercentile vs all FBS · 2026 season. Dashed ring = FBS median.