Missouri State
2026 record
3-5
Against the spread
4-4 ATS
Over / Under
3-5 O/U
Top performers — 2026
Season leaders in each category, by yards. Box-score totals — site context only, never used by the model.
Passing
Henry Belin IV QB
1,071 yds · 8 TD · 126 att
Rushing
Ramone Green Jr. RB
272 yds · 2 TD · 67 car
Receiving
Isaiah Myers WR
873 yds · 8 TD · 41 rec
Team stats
National rank in parentheses (1 of 138 FBS teams). Green is good, red is bad, on each stat's own scale.
Plain box-score averages, 2026 season. No opponent adjustment — a soft schedule flatters these numbers.
| Category | Offense | Defense |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 24.4 (96th) | 34.9 (130th) |
| Total yards per game | 376.9 (80th) | 430.1 (127th) |
| Rushing yards per game | 136.1 (102nd) | 180.3 (110th) |
| Passing yards per game | 240.7 (55th) | 249.9 (115th) |
| Yards per play | 6.06 (65th) | 6.29 (112th) |
| Third-down conversions | 36.7% (102nd) | 44.4% (115th) |
Opponent-adjusted efficiency — the model’s own 2026 ratings.
| Category | Offense | Defense |
|---|---|---|
| Overall efficiency (EPA/play) | -0.02 (115th) | -0.08 (135th) |
| Success rate | 2.8% (62nd) | -4.3% (138th) |
| Explosive plays (15+ yds, all) | 1.9% (25th) | -1.7% (130th) |
| Explosive RUN plays | -0.0% (77th) | -0.3% (99th) |
| Pass-game success rate | -1.9% (107th) | -5.5% (132nd) |
| Line yards per carry | 2.8 (106th) | 3.2 (122nd) |
| Stuff rate (runs at/behind line) | 19.7% (93rd) | 16.4% (106th) |
| Power-run success (3rd/4th & short) | 68.9% (83rd) | 75.1% (103rd) |
| Havoc rate (TFL/sack/PBU/FF) | 17.3% (112th) | 13.1% (120th) |
2026 results
ATS = covered the closing spread · O/U = hit the closing total. Graded after the fact, never fed into the model.
| Opponent | Result | ATS | O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 9 | vs Sam Houston | W 24–3 | ✓ | U |
| Wk 8 | @ Delaware | L 38–61 | ✗ | O |
| Wk 7 | vs Kennesaw State | W 24–21 | ✓ | U |
| Wk 6 | @ Western Kentucky | L 13–34 | ✗ | U |
| Wk 4 | @ SMU | L 24–34 | ✓ | U |
| Wk 3 | vs Marshall | L 24–30 | ✗ | O |
| Wk 2 | vs Lindenwood | W 48–14 | ✓ | O |
| Wk 1 | @ Texas A&M | L 0–50 | ✗ | U |
Team fingerprint
Missouri StatePercentile vs all FBS · 2026 season. Dashed ring = FBS median.