Season leaders in each category, by yards. Box-score totals — site context only, never used by the model.
National rank in parentheses (1 of 138 FBS teams). Green is good, red is bad, on each stat's own scale.
Plain box-score averages, 2026 season. No opponent adjustment — a soft schedule flatters these numbers.
| Category | Offense | Defense |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 34.4 (36th) | 15.3 (11th) |
| Total yards per game | 439.9 (31st) | 270.3 (8th) |
| Rushing yards per game | 228.7 (10th) | 95.0 (9th) |
| Passing yards per game | 211.1 (87th) | 175.3 (20th) |
| Yards per play | 6.37 (44th) | 5.08 (29th) |
| Third-down conversions | 47.4% (27th) | 29.2% (6th) |
Opponent-adjusted efficiency — the model’s own 2026 ratings.
| Category | Offense | Defense |
|---|---|---|
| Overall efficiency (EPA/play) | 0.14 (35th) | 0.23 (14th) |
| Success rate | 5.4% (23rd) | 5.9% (20th) |
| Explosive plays (15+ yds, all) | 0.2% (89th) | 0.6% (82nd) |
| Explosive RUN plays | 3.4% (8th) | 2.1% (35th) |
| Pass-game success rate | 1.0% (83rd) | 11.0% (7th) |
| Line yards per carry | 3.5 (4th) | 2.5 (13th) |
| Stuff rate (runs at/behind line) | 13.2% (11th) | 24.6% (17th) |
| Power-run success (3rd/4th & short) | 79.9% (32nd) | 73.8% (99th) |
| Havoc rate (TFL/sack/PBU/FF) | 14.4% (66th) | 19.8% (13th) |
ATS = covered the closing spread · O/U = hit the closing total. Graded after the fact, never fed into the model.
| Opponent | Result | ATS | O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 9 | vs Nevada | W 27–0 | ✓ | U |
| Wk 8 | vs Michigan State | W 28–10 | ✓ | U |
| Wk 7 | vs Wisconsin | W 17–7 | ✓ | U |
| Wk 6 | @ Oregon | W 17–15 | ✓ | U |
| Wk 4 | @ Maryland | W 54–3 | ✓ | O |
| Wk 3 | vs Purdue | W 52–38 | ✓ | O |
| Wk 2 | vs San Diego State | W 28–10 | ✓ | U |
| Wk 1 | @ California | W 45–24 | ✓ | O |