Season leaders in each category, by yards. Box-score totals — site context only, never used by the model.
National rank in parentheses (1 of 138 FBS teams). Green is good, red is bad, on each stat's own scale.
Plain box-score averages, 2026 season. No opponent adjustment — a soft schedule flatters these numbers.
| Category | Offense | Defense |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 36.4 (20th) | 21.1 (47th) |
| Total yards per game | 465.9 (16th) | 306.4 (25th) |
| Rushing yards per game | 154.1 (74th) | 128.3 (45th) |
| Passing yards per game | 311.7 (7th) | 178.1 (22nd) |
| Yards per play | 7.00 (12th) | 5.10 (30th) |
| Third-down conversions | 44.2% (49th) | 28.1% (3rd) |
Opponent-adjusted efficiency — the model’s own 2026 ratings.
| Category | Offense | Defense |
|---|---|---|
| Overall efficiency (EPA/play) | 0.13 (41st) | 0.10 (65th) |
| Success rate | 5.2% (25th) | 3.9% (49th) |
| Explosive plays (15+ yds, all) | 1.8% (27th) | 0.8% (77th) |
| Explosive RUN plays | 0.6% (59th) | 0.7% (75th) |
| Pass-game success rate | 10.4% (16th) | 8.8% (15th) |
| Line yards per carry | 2.9 (98th) | 2.6 (38th) |
| Stuff rate (runs at/behind line) | 20.7% (107th) | 21.2% (48th) |
| Power-run success (3rd/4th & short) | 63.9% (108th) | 48.6% (7th) |
| Havoc rate (TFL/sack/PBU/FF) | 12.5% (25th) | 19.1% (21st) |
ATS = covered the closing spread · O/U = hit the closing total. Graded after the fact, never fed into the model.
| Opponent | Result | ATS | O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 9 | @ Syracuse | L 27–30 | ✗ | U |
| Wk 8 | vs California | W 59–20 | ✓ | O |
| Wk 7 | vs Virginia | W 23–13 | P | U |
| Wk 5 | vs Boston College | W 25–16 | ✗ | U |
| Wk 4 | vs Missouri State | W 34–24 | ✗ | U |
| Wk 3 | @ Louisville | L 31–41 | ✗ | O |
| Wk 2 | vs UC Davis | W 56–10 | ✓ | O |
| Wk 1 | @ Florida State | W 27–24 | P | U |