Season leaders in each category, by yards. Box-score totals — site context only, never used by the model.
National rank in parentheses (1 of 138 FBS teams). Green is good, red is bad, on each stat's own scale.
Plain box-score averages, 2026 season. No opponent adjustment — a soft schedule flatters these numbers.
| Category | Offense | Defense |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 37.4 (14th) | 14.6 (9th) |
| Total yards per game | 477.0 (10th) | 312.7 (27th) |
| Rushing yards per game | 220.3 (13th) | 91.6 (7th) |
| Passing yards per game | 256.7 (38th) | 221.1 (89th) |
| Yards per play | 6.94 (15th) | 5.06 (28th) |
| Third-down conversions | 55.3% (8th) | 34.3% (31st) |
Opponent-adjusted efficiency — the model’s own 2026 ratings.
| Category | Offense | Defense |
|---|---|---|
| Overall efficiency (EPA/play) | 0.25 (9th) | 0.21 (20th) |
| Success rate | 8.0% (10th) | 7.0% (13th) |
| Explosive plays (15+ yds, all) | 1.7% (32nd) | 2.5% (18th) |
| Explosive RUN plays | 2.3% (24th) | 1.6% (48th) |
| Pass-game success rate | 12.7% (10th) | 11.3% (6th) |
| Line yards per carry | 3.3 (23rd) | 2.7 (53rd) |
| Stuff rate (runs at/behind line) | 21.9% (123rd) | 20.3% (61st) |
| Power-run success (3rd/4th & short) | 73.7% (63rd) | 58.3% (26th) |
| Havoc rate (TFL/sack/PBU/FF) | 14.4% (64th) | 17.4% (43rd) |
ATS = covered the closing spread · O/U = hit the closing total. Graded after the fact, never fed into the model.
| Opponent | Result | ATS | O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 9 | @ Cincinnati | W 49–25 | ✓ | O |
| Wk 8 | vs Houston | W 21–13 | ✓ | U |
| Wk 7 | @ Colorado | W 27–24 | ✗ | O |
| Wk 6 | vs Kansas | W 41–24 | ✓ | O |
| Wk 4 | @ Iowa State | W 31–17 | ✓ | O |
| Wk 3 | vs Utah State | W 33–0 | ✓ | U |
| Wk 2 | vs Arkansas | W 43–10 | ✓ | U |
| Wk 1 | vs Idaho | W 66–14 | ✓ | O |