Season leaders in each category, by yards. Box-score totals — site context only, never used by the model.
National rank in parentheses (1 of 138 FBS teams). Green is good, red is bad, on each stat's own scale.
Plain box-score averages, 2026 season. No opponent adjustment — a soft schedule flatters these numbers.
| Category | Offense | Defense |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 20.1 (120th) | 25.3 (79th) |
| Total yards per game | 333.4 (118th) | 342.4 (53rd) |
| Rushing yards per game | 88.6 (137th) | 206.6 (130th) |
| Passing yards per game | 244.9 (50th) | 135.9 (3rd) |
| Yards per play | 5.57 (109th) | 5.35 (50th) |
| Third-down conversions | 36.3% (109th) | 32.3% (14th) |
Opponent-adjusted efficiency — the model’s own 2026 ratings.
| Category | Offense | Defense |
|---|---|---|
| Overall efficiency (EPA/play) | -0.08 (130th) | 0.03 (90th) |
| Success rate | -1.2% (114th) | 0.4% (109th) |
| Explosive plays (15+ yds, all) | -0.6% (113th) | -0.1% (108th) |
| Explosive RUN plays | -2.3% (132nd) | -2.3% (130th) |
| Pass-game success rate | 0.2% (92nd) | 7.3% (23rd) |
| Line yards per carry | 2.4 (134th) | 3.2 (119th) |
| Stuff rate (runs at/behind line) | 26.7% (137th) | 18.1% (89th) |
| Power-run success (3rd/4th & short) | 46.7% (135th) | 67.9% (64th) |
| Havoc rate (TFL/sack/PBU/FF) | 20.5% (136th) | 18.5% (24th) |
ATS = covered the closing spread · O/U = hit the closing total. Graded after the fact, never fed into the model.
| Opponent | Result | ATS | O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 9 | @ Missouri State | L 3–24 | ✗ | U |
| Wk 8 | vs New Mexico State | L 24–30 | ✗ | O |
| Wk 7 | vs Western Kentucky | L 3–16 | ✗ | U |
| Wk 6 | @ Liberty | L 3–35 | ✗ | U |
| Wk 4 | @ Texas Tech | L 14–49 | ✗ | O |
| Wk 3 | vs Nicholls | W 59–0 | ✓ | O |
| Wk 2 | vs Tulsa | L 17–23 | ✓ | U |
| Wk 1 | @ Troy | L 21–24 | ✓ | U |