Season leaders in each category, by yards. Box-score totals — site context only, never used by the model.
National rank in parentheses (1 of 138 FBS teams). Green is good, red is bad, on each stat's own scale.
Plain box-score averages, 2026 season. No opponent adjustment — a soft schedule flatters these numbers.
| Category | Offense | Defense |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 33.1 (40th) | 18.6 (26th) |
| Total yards per game | 414.9 (50th) | 303.1 (22nd) |
| Rushing yards per game | 194.3 (32nd) | 100.0 (14th) |
| Passing yards per game | 220.6 (75th) | 203.1 (56th) |
| Yards per play | 6.70 (25th) | 4.87 (16th) |
| Third-down conversions | 55.8% (5th) | 42.0% (101st) |
Opponent-adjusted efficiency — the model’s own 2026 ratings.
| Category | Offense | Defense |
|---|---|---|
| Overall efficiency (EPA/play) | 0.26 (7th) | 0.19 (27th) |
| Success rate | 3.8% (42nd) | 6.0% (17th) |
| Explosive plays (15+ yds, all) | -0.2% (105th) | 2.0% (32nd) |
| Explosive RUN plays | 2.4% (23rd) | 1.1% (66th) |
| Pass-game success rate | 7.3% (29th) | 8.5% (16th) |
| Line yards per carry | 3.3 (22nd) | 2.6 (33rd) |
| Stuff rate (runs at/behind line) | 16.5% (45th) | 22.0% (40th) |
| Power-run success (3rd/4th & short) | 77.9% (45th) | 60.3% (31st) |
| Havoc rate (TFL/sack/PBU/FF) | 8.8% (4th) | 18.1% (34th) |
ATS = covered the closing spread · O/U = hit the closing total. Graded after the fact, never fed into the model.
| Opponent | Result | ATS | O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 9 | vs Arizona State | W 27–20 | ✗ | U |
| Wk 8 | @ UCF | L 31–39 | ✗ | O |
| Wk 7 | vs Notre Dame | W 28–24 | ✓ | O |
| Wk 6 | vs Iowa State | W 24–10 | ✓ | U |
| Wk 5 | @ TCU | W 17–10 | ✓ | U |
| Wk 3 | @ Colorado State | W 41–23 | ✓ | O |
| Wk 2 | vs Arizona | W 28–17 | ✓ | U |
| Wk 1 | vs Utah Tech | W 63–7 | ✓ | O |