★7Texas
2026 record
2-0
Against the spread
1-1 ATS
Over / Under
1-1 O/U
Top performers — 2026
Season leaders in each category, by yards. Box-score totals — site context only, never used by the model.
Passing
Arch Manning QB
500 yds · 5 TD · 64 att
Rushing
Daylan Smothers RB
144 yds · 2 TD · 31 car
Receiving
Ryan Wingo WR
143 yds · 2 TD · 11 rec
Team stats
National rank in parentheses (1 of 138 FBS teams). Green is good, red is bad, on each stat's own scale.
Plain box-score averages, 2026 season. No opponent adjustment — a soft schedule flatters these numbers.
| Category | Offense | Defense |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 41.5 (31st) | 15.0 (43rd) |
| Total yards per game | 421.5 (59th) | 360.5 (92nd) |
| Rushing yards per game | 148.5 (88th) | 127.5 (80th) |
| Passing yards per game | 273.0 (38th) | 233.0 (101st) |
| Yards per play | 5.86 (91st) | 5.51 (84th) |
| Third-down conversions | 63.3% (9th) | 50.0% (125th) |
Opponent-adjusted efficiency — the model’s own 2026 ratings.
| Category | Offense | Defense |
|---|---|---|
| Overall efficiency (EPA/play) | 0.09 (43rd) | 0.12 (29th) |
| Success rate | 4.4% (25th) | 3.4% (40th) |
| Explosive plays (15+ yds, all) | 1.2% (36th) | 0.2% (95th) |
| Explosive RUN plays | -1.8% (126th) | 0.2% (80th) |
| Pass-game success rate | 6.9% (24th) | 4.9% (33rd) |
| Line yards per carry | 2.8 (107th) | 2.8 (78th) |
| Stuff rate (runs at/behind line) | 21.8% (104th) | 20.6% (77th) |
| Power-run success (3rd/4th & short) | 76.4% (63rd) | 63.3% (57th) |
| Havoc rate (TFL/sack/PBU/FF) | 16.3% (90th) | 17.3% (58th) |
2026 results
ATS = covered the closing spread · O/U = hit the closing total. Graded after the fact, never fed into the model.
| Opponent | Result | ATS | O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 2 | vs Ohio State | W 24–23 | ✗ | U |
| Wk 1 | vs Texas State | W 59–7 | ✓ | O |
Team fingerprint
TexasPercentile vs all FBS · 2026 season. Dashed ring = FBS median.