★8Texas
2026 record
6-2
Against the spread
3-5 ATS
Over / Under
3-5 O/U
Top performers — 2026
Season leaders in each category, by yards. Box-score totals — site context only, never used by the model.
Passing
Arch Manning QB
1,730 yds · 15 TD · 217 att
Rushing
Raleek Brown RB
452 yds · 5 TD · 92 car
Receiving
Ryan Wingo WR
470 yds · 4 TD · 36 rec
Team stats
National rank in parentheses (1 of 138 FBS teams). Green is good, red is bad, on each stat's own scale.
Plain box-score averages, 2026 season. No opponent adjustment — a soft schedule flatters these numbers.
| Category | Offense | Defense |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 30.7 (57th) | 19.1 (29th) |
| Total yards per game | 376.1 (82nd) | 287.4 (16th) |
| Rushing yards per game | 152.7 (76th) | 108.9 (25th) |
| Passing yards per game | 223.4 (73rd) | 178.6 (23rd) |
| Yards per play | 5.73 (94th) | 4.27 (1st) |
| Third-down conversions | 38.5% (91st) | 33.7% (22nd) |
Opponent-adjusted efficiency — the model’s own 2026 ratings.
| Category | Offense | Defense |
|---|---|---|
| Overall efficiency (EPA/play) | 0.07 (70th) | 0.27 (9th) |
| Success rate | 3.3% (57th) | 9.9% (6th) |
| Explosive plays (15+ yds, all) | 1.9% (24th) | 3.7% (2nd) |
| Explosive RUN plays | 0.4% (64th) | 3.4% (9th) |
| Pass-game success rate | 3.1% (58th) | 13.5% (3rd) |
| Line yards per carry | 2.7 (114th) | 2.4 (11th) |
| Stuff rate (runs at/behind line) | 20.0% (99th) | 23.1% (28th) |
| Power-run success (3rd/4th & short) | 68.0% (88th) | 72.1% (88th) |
| Havoc rate (TFL/sack/PBU/FF) | 19.0% (129th) | 20.1% (9th) |
2026 results
ATS = covered the closing spread · O/U = hit the closing total. Graded after the fact, never fed into the model.
| Opponent | Result | ATS | O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 9 | vs Mississippi State | W 31–3 | ✓ | U |
| Wk 8 | vs Ole Miss | W 34–27 | ✓ | O |
| Wk 7 | vs Florida | L 24–27 | ✗ | U |
| Wk 6 | @ Oklahoma | L 24–27 | ✗ | O |
| Wk 4 | @ Tennessee | W 20–17 | ✗ | U |
| Wk 3 | vs UTSA | W 30–6 | ✗ | U |
| Wk 2 | vs Ohio State | W 24–23 | ✗ | U |
| Wk 1 | vs Texas State | W 59–7 | ✓ | O |
Team fingerprint
TexasPercentile vs all FBS · 2026 season. Dashed ring = FBS median.