★10Oregon
2026 record
5-3
Against the spread
3-5 ATS
Over / Under
5-3 O/U
Top performers — 2026
Season leaders in each category, by yards. Box-score totals — site context only, never used by the model.
Passing
Dylan Raiola QB
1,097 yds · 9 TD · 145 att
Rushing
Jordon Davison RB
439 yds · 7 TD · 91 car
Receiving
Dakorien Moore WR
545 yds · 6 TD · 41 rec
Team stats
National rank in parentheses (1 of 138 FBS teams). Green is good, red is bad, on each stat's own scale.
Plain box-score averages, 2026 season. No opponent adjustment — a soft schedule flatters these numbers.
| Category | Offense | Defense |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 33.1 (40th) | 20.7 (39th) |
| Total yards per game | 420.1 (45th) | 329.9 (44th) |
| Rushing yards per game | 146.1 (93rd) | 132.3 (51st) |
| Passing yards per game | 274.0 (24th) | 197.6 (50th) |
| Yards per play | 6.08 (61st) | 5.31 (44th) |
| Third-down conversions | 36.5% (106th) | 30.4% (9th) |
Opponent-adjusted efficiency — the model’s own 2026 ratings.
| Category | Offense | Defense |
|---|---|---|
| Overall efficiency (EPA/play) | 0.07 (71st) | 0.30 (2nd) |
| Success rate | 2.2% (76th) | 10.8% (1st) |
| Explosive plays (15+ yds, all) | 0.8% (65th) | 3.3% (6th) |
| Explosive RUN plays | -0.3% (85th) | 2.5% (30th) |
| Pass-game success rate | 0.2% (93rd) | 11.8% (5th) |
| Line yards per carry | 2.9 (86th) | 2.5 (15th) |
| Stuff rate (runs at/behind line) | 18.4% (75th) | 22.2% (37th) |
| Power-run success (3rd/4th & short) | 73.0% (67th) | 52.9% (14th) |
| Havoc rate (TFL/sack/PBU/FF) | 16.8% (101st) | 17.3% (45th) |
2026 results
ATS = covered the closing spread · O/U = hit the closing total. Graded after the fact, never fed into the model.
| Opponent | Result | ATS | O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 9 | vs Northwestern | W 34–26 | ✓ | O |
| Wk 8 | @ Illinois | L 10–21 | ✗ | U |
| Wk 7 | vs Nebraska | W 17–14 | ✗ | U |
| Wk 6 | vs UCLA | L 15–17 | ✗ | U |
| Wk 4 | @ USC | W 41–27 | ✓ | O |
| Wk 3 | vs Portland State | W 84–0 | ✓ | O |
| Wk 2 | @ Oklahoma State | L 31–39 | ✗ | O |
| Wk 1 | vs Boise State | W 34–27 | ✗ | O |
Team fingerprint
OregonPercentile vs all FBS · 2026 season. Dashed ring = FBS median.