Houston
2026 record
6-2
Against the spread
3-5 ATS
Over / Under
5-3 O/U
Top performers — 2026
Season leaders in each category, by yards. Box-score totals — site context only, never used by the model.
Passing
Conner Weigman QB
2,052 yds · 20 TD · 233 att
Rushing
Makhi Hughes RB
517 yds · 4 TD · 117 car
Receiving
Amare Thomas WR
620 yds · 6 TD · 41 rec
Team stats
National rank in parentheses (1 of 138 FBS teams). Green is good, red is bad, on each stat's own scale.
Plain box-score averages, 2026 season. No opponent adjustment — a soft schedule flatters these numbers.
| Category | Offense | Defense |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 36.0 (24th) | 21.0 (44th) |
| Total yards per game | 469.6 (13th) | 362.5 (71st) |
| Rushing yards per game | 205.2 (23rd) | 105.1 (20th) |
| Passing yards per game | 264.4 (32nd) | 257.4 (125th) |
| Yards per play | 6.81 (20th) | 6.18 (107th) |
| Third-down conversions | 61.0% (1st) | 39.4% (78th) |
Opponent-adjusted efficiency — the model’s own 2026 ratings.
| Category | Offense | Defense |
|---|---|---|
| Overall efficiency (EPA/play) | 0.24 (10th) | 0.09 (70th) |
| Success rate | 10.2% (1st) | 4.1% (48th) |
| Explosive plays (15+ yds, all) | 0.8% (61st) | 1.0% (68th) |
| Explosive RUN plays | -0.5% (98th) | -1.5% (122nd) |
| Pass-game success rate | 15.2% (3rd) | 3.7% (61st) |
| Line yards per carry | 3.5 (6th) | 2.6 (25th) |
| Stuff rate (runs at/behind line) | 14.1% (18th) | 22.1% (38th) |
| Power-run success (3rd/4th & short) | 72.6% (69th) | 64.2% (44th) |
| Havoc rate (TFL/sack/PBU/FF) | 10.4% (8th) | 19.4% (19th) |
2026 results
ATS = covered the closing spread · O/U = hit the closing total. Graded after the fact, never fed into the model.
| Opponent | Result | ATS | O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 8 | @ Utah | L 13–21 | ✗ | U |
| Wk 7 | vs Oklahoma State | W 35–32 | ✗ | O |
| Wk 6 | @ Kansas State | W 35–16 | ✓ | U |
| Wk 5 | vs UCF | W 27–17 | ✗ | U |
| Wk 4 | @ Georgia Southern | W 42–28 | ✗ | O |
| Wk 3 | @ Texas Tech | L 26–28 | ✓ | O |
| Wk 2 | vs Southern | W 77–6 | ✓ | O |
| Wk 1 | vs Oregon State | W 33–20 | ✗ | O |
Team fingerprint
HoustonPercentile vs all FBS · 2026 season. Dashed ring = FBS median.