Charlotte
2026 record
1-7
Against the spread
4-4 ATS
Over / Under
5-3 O/U
Top performers — 2026
Season leaders in each category, by yards. Box-score totals — site context only, never used by the model.
Passing
Conner Harrell QB
831 yds · 5 TD · 108 att
Rushing
Henry Rutledge RB
452 yds · 1 TD · 74 car
Receiving
Jaden Barnes WR
475 yds · 1 TD · 49 rec
Team stats
National rank in parentheses (1 of 138 FBS teams). Green is good, red is bad, on each stat's own scale.
Plain box-score averages, 2026 season. No opponent adjustment — a soft schedule flatters these numbers.
| Category | Offense | Defense |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 19.1 (128th) | 40.6 (137th) |
| Total yards per game | 315.1 (127th) | 462.1 (136th) |
| Rushing yards per game | 115.7 (121st) | 186.4 (116th) |
| Passing yards per game | 199.4 (100th) | 275.7 (134th) |
| Yards per play | 5.84 (87th) | 6.55 (126th) |
| Third-down conversions | 32.9% (127th) | 45.5% (123rd) |
Opponent-adjusted efficiency — the model’s own 2026 ratings.
| Category | Offense | Defense |
|---|---|---|
| Overall efficiency (EPA/play) | -0.13 (136th) | 0.02 (101st) |
| Success rate | -3.4% (134th) | -2.6% (133rd) |
| Explosive plays (15+ yds, all) | -0.2% (102nd) | -0.0% (106th) |
| Explosive RUN plays | -0.6% (100th) | -0.5% (105th) |
| Pass-game success rate | -0.9% (98th) | -3.5% (126th) |
| Line yards per carry | 2.3 (136th) | 3.2 (116th) |
| Stuff rate (runs at/behind line) | 26.7% (136th) | 21.6% (43rd) |
| Power-run success (3rd/4th & short) | 48.4% (133rd) | 78.2% (116th) |
| Havoc rate (TFL/sack/PBU/FF) | 19.1% (131st) | 11.6% (132nd) |
2026 results
ATS = covered the closing spread · O/U = hit the closing total. Graded after the fact, never fed into the model.
| Opponent | Result | ATS | O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 9 | vs Tulane | L 31–38 | ✓ | O |
| Wk 7 | @ Temple | W 38–31 | ✓ | O |
| Wk 6 | @ North Texas | L 10–50 | ✗ | O |
| Wk 5 | vs Memphis | L 8–59 | ✗ | O |
| Wk 4 | vs Louisiana | L 7–34 | ✗ | U |
| Wk 3 | @ App State | L 21–26 | ✓ | U |
| Wk 2 | @ Ole Miss | L 9–41 | ✓ | U |
| Wk 1 | vs The Citadel | L 41–43 | ✗ | O |
Team fingerprint
CharlottePercentile vs all FBS · 2026 season. Dashed ring = FBS median.