Season leaders in each category, by yards. Box-score totals — site context only, never used by the model.
National rank in parentheses (1 of 138 FBS teams). Green is good, red is bad, on each stat's own scale.
Plain box-score averages, 2026 season. No opponent adjustment — a soft schedule flatters these numbers.
| Category | Offense | Defense |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 19.9 (125th) | 35.5 (132nd) |
| Total yards per game | 362.6 (93rd) | 442.2 (131st) |
| Rushing yards per game | 116.6 (120th) | 188.0 (120th) |
| Passing yards per game | 246.0 (49th) | 254.2 (122nd) |
| Yards per play | 5.64 (105th) | 6.49 (124th) |
| Third-down conversions | 35.8% (110th) | 48.5% (130th) |
Opponent-adjusted efficiency — the model’s own 2026 ratings.
| Category | Offense | Defense |
|---|---|---|
| Overall efficiency (EPA/play) | 0.07 (73rd) | -0.02 (120th) |
| Success rate | 0.0% (105th) | 0.8% (102nd) |
| Explosive plays (15+ yds, all) | 0.2% (90th) | 0.2% (96th) |
| Explosive RUN plays | -1.2% (114th) | -1.2% (115th) |
| Pass-game success rate | -0.9% (99th) | 4.0% (58th) |
| Line yards per carry | 2.9 (93rd) | 3.3 (130th) |
| Stuff rate (runs at/behind line) | 19.8% (95th) | 15.1% (128th) |
| Power-run success (3rd/4th & short) | 79.2% (35th) | 83.2% (127th) |
| Havoc rate (TFL/sack/PBU/FF) | 13.1% (35th) | 11.0% (134th) |
ATS = covered the closing spread · O/U = hit the closing total. Graded after the fact, never fed into the model.
| Opponent | Result | ATS | O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 9 | @ Louisville | L 24–52 | ✗ | O |
| Wk 8 | vs NC State | W 31–28 | ✓ | O |
| Wk 7 | vs Elon | W 34–7 | ✗ | U |
| Wk 6 | @ Notre Dame | L 7–58 | ✗ | O |
| Wk 5 | @ Wake Forest | L 3–57 | ✗ | O |
| Wk 4 | vs Georgia Tech | W 34–27 | ✓ | O |
| Wk 3 | @ Duke | L 7–35 | ✗ | U |
| Wk 1 | vs Miami | L 6–45 | ✗ | O |
| Wk 1 | vs Hawai'i | W 37–27 | ✓ | O |