Middle Tennessee
2026 record
4-4
Against the spread
5-3 ATS
Over / Under
4-4 O/U
Top performers — 2026
Season leaders in each category, by yards. Box-score totals — site context only, never used by the model.
Passing
Roman Gagliano QB
1,587 yds · 12 TD · 258 att
Rushing
Antonio Martin RB
586 yds · 2 TD · 112 car
Receiving
Cam'Ron Lacy WR
510 yds · 4 TD · 45 rec
Team stats
National rank in parentheses (1 of 138 FBS teams). Green is good, red is bad, on each stat's own scale.
Plain box-score averages, 2026 season. No opponent adjustment — a soft schedule flatters these numbers.
| Category | Offense | Defense |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 23.3 (103rd) | 27.6 (100th) |
| Total yards per game | 336.7 (113th) | 407.9 (115th) |
| Rushing yards per game | 135.0 (103rd) | 198.1 (126th) |
| Passing yards per game | 201.7 (97th) | 209.7 (69th) |
| Yards per play | 5.99 (72nd) | 6.71 (129th) |
| Third-down conversions | 27.8% (137th) | 40.5% (88th) |
Opponent-adjusted efficiency — the model’s own 2026 ratings.
| Category | Offense | Defense |
|---|---|---|
| Overall efficiency (EPA/play) | 0.02 (95th) | -0.01 (116th) |
| Success rate | 1.9% (81st) | -1.6% (125th) |
| Explosive plays (15+ yds, all) | 0.8% (60th) | 0.9% (72nd) |
| Explosive RUN plays | 1.3% (44th) | 0.8% (72nd) |
| Pass-game success rate | -1.3% (101st) | 0.2% (103rd) |
| Line yards per carry | 3.1 (57th) | 3.5 (136th) |
| Stuff rate (runs at/behind line) | 20.5% (105th) | 15.2% (125th) |
| Power-run success (3rd/4th & short) | 54.6% (126th) | 68.4% (65th) |
| Havoc rate (TFL/sack/PBU/FF) | 15.1% (75th) | 10.4% (136th) |
2026 results
ATS = covered the closing spread · O/U = hit the closing total. Graded after the fact, never fed into the model.
| Opponent | Result | ATS | O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 9 | vs Kennesaw State | L 28–44 | ✗ | O |
| Wk 8 | @ Florida International | W 26–23 | ✓ | O |
| Wk 7 | vs Delaware | W 33–30 | ✓ | O |
| Wk 5 | @ Kansas | L 0–55 | ✗ | O |
| Wk 4 | @ Jacksonville State | L 13–23 | ✗ | U |
| Wk 3 | vs Nevada | W 27–20 | ✓ | U |
| Wk 2 | @ Marshall | L 26–28 | ✓ | U |
| Wk 1 | vs Murray State | W 38–14 | ✓ | U |
Team fingerprint
Middle TennesseePercentile vs all FBS · 2026 season. Dashed ring = FBS median.