Baylor
2026 record
5-3
Against the spread
6-2 ATS
Over / Under
3-5 O/U
Top performers — 2026
Season leaders in each category, by yards. Box-score totals — site context only, never used by the model.
Passing
D.J. Lagway QB
1,671 yds · 13 TD · 242 att
Rushing
Dawson Pendergrass RB
339 yds · 2 TD · 94 car
Receiving
Gavin Freeman WR
792 yds · 3 TD · 63 rec
Team stats
National rank in parentheses (1 of 138 FBS teams). Green is good, red is bad, on each stat's own scale.
Plain box-score averages, 2026 season. No opponent adjustment — a soft schedule flatters these numbers.
| Category | Offense | Defense |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 29.1 (66th) | 16.1 (19th) |
| Total yards per game | 427.3 (41st) | 339.3 (51st) |
| Rushing yards per game | 151.7 (78th) | 110.6 (27th) |
| Passing yards per game | 275.6 (23rd) | 228.7 (101st) |
| Yards per play | 5.66 (102nd) | 4.72 (11th) |
| Third-down conversions | 40.7% (78th) | 35.1% (35th) |
Opponent-adjusted efficiency — the model’s own 2026 ratings.
| Category | Offense | Defense |
|---|---|---|
| Overall efficiency (EPA/play) | 0.13 (39th) | 0.19 (24th) |
| Success rate | 2.3% (75th) | 4.8% (35th) |
| Explosive plays (15+ yds, all) | 1.7% (31st) | 1.5% (50th) |
| Explosive RUN plays | -0.3% (88th) | 1.6% (46th) |
| Pass-game success rate | 0.4% (89th) | 5.9% (35th) |
| Line yards per carry | 2.8 (100th) | 2.6 (35th) |
| Stuff rate (runs at/behind line) | 17.0% (49th) | 23.9% (23rd) |
| Power-run success (3rd/4th & short) | 82.9% (18th) | 43.5% (2nd) |
| Havoc rate (TFL/sack/PBU/FF) | 15.2% (77th) | 19.6% (16th) |
2026 results
ATS = covered the closing spread · O/U = hit the closing total. Graded after the fact, never fed into the model.
| Opponent | Result | ATS | O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 9 | @ UCF | W 41–9 | ✓ | O |
| Wk 8 | @ Kansas | L 24–25 | ✓ | U |
| Wk 7 | vs TCU | L 6–17 | ✗ | U |
| Wk 5 | @ Arizona State | W 55–19 | ✓ | O |
| Wk 4 | vs Colorado | W 23–13 | ✓ | U |
| Wk 3 | vs Louisiana Tech | W 36–19 | ✗ | O |
| Wk 2 | vs Prairie View A&M | W 44–3 | ✓ | U |
| Wk 1 | @ Auburn | L 16–17 | ✓ | U |
Team fingerprint
BaylorPercentile vs all FBS · 2026 season. Dashed ring = FBS median.