Liberty
2026 record
7-1
Against the spread
6-2 ATS
Over / Under
3-5 O/U
Top performers — 2026
Season leaders in each category, by yards. Box-score totals — site context only, never used by the model.
Passing
Deshawn Purdie QB
1,453 yds · 10 TD · 152 att
Rushing
Kam Davis RB
603 yds · 7 TD · 87 car
Receiving
Makai Jackson WR
626 yds · 5 TD · 29 rec
Team stats
National rank in parentheses (1 of 138 FBS teams). Green is good, red is bad, on each stat's own scale.
Plain box-score averages, 2026 season. No opponent adjustment — a soft schedule flatters these numbers.
| Category | Offense | Defense |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 31.6 (50th) | 14.0 (7th) |
| Total yards per game | 415.7 (48th) | 292.9 (18th) |
| Rushing yards per game | 223.7 (11th) | 117.6 (34th) |
| Passing yards per game | 192.0 (106th) | 175.3 (20th) |
| Yards per play | 6.67 (27th) | 5.01 (21st) |
| Third-down conversions | 43.2% (58th) | 34.1% (29th) |
Opponent-adjusted efficiency — the model’s own 2026 ratings.
| Category | Offense | Defense |
|---|---|---|
| Overall efficiency (EPA/play) | 0.07 (69th) | 0.16 (36th) |
| Success rate | 3.7% (49th) | 3.4% (55th) |
| Explosive plays (15+ yds, all) | 0.5% (80th) | 1.2% (57th) |
| Explosive RUN plays | 3.9% (4th) | -0.5% (103rd) |
| Pass-game success rate | -1.6% (103rd) | 5.6% (39th) |
| Line yards per carry | 3.4 (10th) | 2.8 (67th) |
| Stuff rate (runs at/behind line) | 13.7% (12th) | 24.8% (14th) |
| Power-run success (3rd/4th & short) | 83.1% (16th) | 54.8% (17th) |
| Havoc rate (TFL/sack/PBU/FF) | 13.2% (38th) | 17.9% (36th) |
2026 results
ATS = covered the closing spread · O/U = hit the closing total. Graded after the fact, never fed into the model.
| Opponent | Result | ATS | O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 9 | vs Florida International | W 49–10 | ✓ | O |
| Wk 8 | @ Kennesaw State | W 34–6 | ✓ | U |
| Wk 6 | vs Sam Houston | W 35–3 | ✓ | U |
| Wk 5 | @ Delaware | W 30–14 | ✓ | U |
| Wk 4 | @ Coastal Carolina | W 34–17 | ✓ | O |
| Wk 3 | vs Ball State | W 51–15 | ✓ | O |
| Wk 2 | vs Gardner-Webb | W 24–23 | ✗ | U |
| Wk 1 | @ James Madison | L 13–20 | ✗ | U |
Team fingerprint
LibertyPercentile vs all FBS · 2026 season. Dashed ring = FBS median.