Season leaders in each category, by yards. Box-score totals — site context only, never used by the model.
National rank in parentheses (1 of 138 FBS teams). Green is good, red is bad, on each stat's own scale.
Plain box-score averages, 2026 season. No opponent adjustment — a soft schedule flatters these numbers.
| Category | Offense | Defense |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 32.9 (43rd) | 21.1 (47th) |
| Total yards per game | 432.6 (36th) | 309.3 (26th) |
| Rushing yards per game | 219.4 (14th) | 162.1 (94th) |
| Passing yards per game | 213.1 (84th) | 147.1 (5th) |
| Yards per play | 6.32 (50th) | 5.26 (40th) |
| Third-down conversions | 54.5% (9th) | 34.0% (28th) |
Opponent-adjusted efficiency — the model’s own 2026 ratings.
| Category | Offense | Defense |
|---|---|---|
| Overall efficiency (EPA/play) | 0.10 (52nd) | 0.09 (72nd) |
| Success rate | 3.7% (50th) | 4.2% (46th) |
| Explosive plays (15+ yds, all) | 0.7% (68th) | -0.0% (107th) |
| Explosive RUN plays | 2.5% (17th) | -0.6% (108th) |
| Pass-game success rate | 1.8% (73rd) | 7.4% (22nd) |
| Line yards per carry | 3.1 (43rd) | 2.8 (68th) |
| Stuff rate (runs at/behind line) | 16.2% (40th) | 22.0% (39th) |
| Power-run success (3rd/4th & short) | 84.7% (12th) | 44.6% (4th) |
| Havoc rate (TFL/sack/PBU/FF) | 11.9% (18th) | 20.9% (8th) |
ATS = covered the closing spread · O/U = hit the closing total. Graded after the fact, never fed into the model.
| Opponent | Result | ATS | O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 9 | @ Colorado | L 24–27 | P | O |
| Wk 8 | @ Arizona State | L 17–28 | ✗ | U |
| Wk 7 | vs Kansas | W 35–24 | ✓ | O |
| Wk 6 | vs Houston | L 16–35 | ✗ | U |
| Wk 4 | @ Cincinnati | L 26–31 | ✗ | O |
| Wk 3 | vs Tulane | W 31–20 | ✗ | O |
| Wk 2 | vs Washington State | W 34–7 | ✓ | U |
| Wk 1 | vs Nicholls | W 71–3 | ✓ | O |