★18Iowa
2026 record
6-2
Against the spread
5-3 ATS
Over / Under
2-6 O/U
Top performers — 2026
Season leaders in each category, by yards. Box-score totals — site context only, never used by the model.
Passing
Hank Brown QB
1,190 yds · 8 TD · 169 att
Rushing
Kamari Moulton RB
541 yds · 4 TD · 86 car
Receiving
Tony Diaz WR
461 yds · 2 TD · 33 rec
Team stats
National rank in parentheses (1 of 138 FBS teams). Green is good, red is bad, on each stat's own scale.
Plain box-score averages, 2026 season. No opponent adjustment — a soft schedule flatters these numbers.
| Category | Offense | Defense |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 28.0 (75th) | 14.3 (8th) |
| Total yards per game | 385.3 (70th) | 284.7 (12th) |
| Rushing yards per game | 180.4 (48th) | 86.3 (5th) |
| Passing yards per game | 204.9 (94th) | 198.4 (52nd) |
| Yards per play | 6.26 (53rd) | 4.62 (9th) |
| Third-down conversions | 37.2% (98th) | 33.0% (17th) |
Opponent-adjusted efficiency — the model’s own 2026 ratings.
| Category | Offense | Defense |
|---|---|---|
| Overall efficiency (EPA/play) | 0.07 (74th) | 0.15 (42nd) |
| Success rate | 3.8% (44th) | 5.9% (19th) |
| Explosive plays (15+ yds, all) | 1.1% (51st) | 2.4% (21st) |
| Explosive RUN plays | -0.1% (79th) | 3.0% (19th) |
| Pass-game success rate | 7.1% (30th) | 5.1% (46th) |
| Line yards per carry | 3.1 (56th) | 2.4 (9th) |
| Stuff rate (runs at/behind line) | 17.8% (64th) | 22.7% (32nd) |
| Power-run success (3rd/4th & short) | 62.2% (113th) | 66.2% (54th) |
| Havoc rate (TFL/sack/PBU/FF) | 12.7% (27th) | 17.8% (37th) |
2026 results
ATS = covered the closing spread · O/U = hit the closing total. Graded after the fact, never fed into the model.
| Opponent | Result | ATS | O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 9 | vs Wisconsin | W 30–0 | ✓ | U |
| Wk 8 | @ Minnesota | L 10–13 | ✗ | U |
| Wk 6 | @ Washington | W 41–24 | ✓ | O |
| Wk 5 | vs Ohio State | L 14–31 | ✗ | U |
| Wk 4 | @ Michigan | W 20–19 | ✓ | U |
| Wk 3 | vs Northern Iowa | W 55–0 | ✓ | O |
| Wk 2 | vs Iowa State | W 16–13 | ✗ | U |
| Wk 1 | vs Northern Illinois | W 40–0 | ✓ | U |
Team fingerprint
IowaPercentile vs all FBS · 2026 season. Dashed ring = FBS median.