Florida Atlantic
2026 record
5-3
Against the spread
5-3 ATS
Over / Under
7-1 O/U
Top performers — 2026
Season leaders in each category, by yards. Box-score totals — site context only, never used by the model.
Passing
Caden Veltkamp QB
2,534 yds · 23 TD · 315 att
Rushing
Ethan Ervin RB
369 yds · 2 TD · 91 car
Receiving
Easton Messer WR
891 yds · 9 TD · 72 rec
Team stats
National rank in parentheses (1 of 138 FBS teams). Green is good, red is bad, on each stat's own scale.
Plain box-score averages, 2026 season. No opponent adjustment — a soft schedule flatters these numbers.
| Category | Offense | Defense |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 37.3 (17th) | 34.0 (129th) |
| Total yards per game | 437.9 (32nd) | 444.0 (132nd) |
| Rushing yards per game | 126.3 (113th) | 258.4 (137th) |
| Passing yards per game | 311.6 (8th) | 185.6 (33rd) |
| Yards per play | 5.69 (98th) | 7.21 (136th) |
| Third-down conversions | 52.3% (12th) | 39.8% (81st) |
Opponent-adjusted efficiency — the model’s own 2026 ratings.
| Category | Offense | Defense |
|---|---|---|
| Overall efficiency (EPA/play) | 0.12 (44th) | -0.07 (134th) |
| Success rate | 3.8% (46th) | -1.1% (123rd) |
| Explosive plays (15+ yds, all) | -1.5% (125th) | -3.0% (137th) |
| Explosive RUN plays | -2.4% (133rd) | -3.7% (137th) |
| Pass-game success rate | 8.1% (26th) | 3.5% (63rd) |
| Line yards per carry | 2.9 (89th) | 3.0 (93rd) |
| Stuff rate (runs at/behind line) | 15.6% (29th) | 17.8% (91st) |
| Power-run success (3rd/4th & short) | 80.9% (24th) | 83.9% (129th) |
| Havoc rate (TFL/sack/PBU/FF) | 15.0% (74th) | 13.4% (117th) |
2026 results
ATS = covered the closing spread · O/U = hit the closing total. Graded after the fact, never fed into the model.
| Opponent | Result | ATS | O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 9 | @ North Texas | L 41–48 | ✓ | O |
| Wk 8 | vs Rice | W 51–49 | ✗ | O |
| Wk 7 | @ Army | L 24–56 | ✗ | O |
| Wk 5 | vs Texas Southern | W 66–10 | ✓ | O |
| Wk 4 | @ UL Monroe | W 45–17 | ✓ | O |
| Wk 3 | vs Florida International | W 16–10 | ✓ | U |
| Wk 2 | vs Navy | W 38–30 | ✓ | O |
| Wk 1 | @ Florida | L 21–66 | ✗ | O |
Team fingerprint
Florida AtlanticPercentile vs all FBS · 2026 season. Dashed ring = FBS median.