Pittsburgh
2026 record
2-0
Against the spread
1-1 ATS
Over / Under
1-1 O/U
Top performers — 2026
Season leaders in each category, by yards. Box-score totals — site context only, never used by the model.
Passing
Mason Heintschel QB
665 yds · 7 TD · 70 att
Rushing
Damon Ferguson Jr. RB
81 yds · 1 TD · 26 car
Receiving
Cataurus Hicks WR
178 yds · 1 TD · 8 rec
Team stats
National rank in parentheses (1 of 138 FBS teams). Green is good, red is bad, on each stat's own scale.
Plain box-score averages, 2026 season. No opponent adjustment — a soft schedule flatters these numbers.
| Category | Offense | Defense |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 35.5 (53rd) | 10.5 (17th) |
| Total yards per game | 481.5 (31st) | 265.0 (36th) |
| Rushing yards per game | 135.5 (101st) | 41.5 (4th) |
| Passing yards per game | 346.0 (6th) | 223.5 (95th) |
| Yards per play | 6.60 (53rd) | 4.79 (43rd) |
| Third-down conversions | 41.4% (76th) | 29.6% (33rd) |
Opponent-adjusted efficiency — the model’s own 2026 ratings.
| Category | Offense | Defense |
|---|---|---|
| Overall efficiency (EPA/play) | 0.11 (34th) | 0.17 (8th) |
| Success rate | 3.1% (45th) | 7.3% (4th) |
| Explosive plays (15+ yds, all) | 1.4% (31st) | 1.2% (33rd) |
| Explosive RUN plays | -1.4% (116th) | 0.9% (63rd) |
| Pass-game success rate | 2.1% (74th) | 10.8% (2nd) |
| Line yards per carry | 2.7 (109th) | 1.3 (3rd) |
| Stuff rate (runs at/behind line) | 22.2% (109th) | 23.7% (46th) |
| Power-run success (3rd/4th & short) | 58.6% (106th) | 66.7% (64th) |
| Havoc rate (TFL/sack/PBU/FF) | 9.5% (18th) | 19.0% (46th) |
2026 results
ATS = covered the closing spread · O/U = hit the closing total. Graded after the fact, never fed into the model.
| Opponent | Result | ATS | O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 2 | vs UCF | W 12–7 | ✗ | U |
| Wk 1 | vs Miami (OH) | W 59–14 | ✓ | O |
Team fingerprint
PittsburghPercentile vs all FBS · 2026 season. Dashed ring = FBS median.