★25Penn State
2026 record
4-4
Against the spread
4-4 ATS
Over / Under
3-5 O/U
Top performers — 2026
Season leaders in each category, by yards. Box-score totals — site context only, never used by the model.
Passing
Rocco Becht QB
1,839 yds · 13 TD · 234 att
Rushing
Carson Hansen RB
374 yds · 5 TD · 89 car
Receiving
Chase Sowell WR
510 yds · 3 TD · 34 rec
Team stats
National rank in parentheses (1 of 138 FBS teams). Green is good, red is bad, on each stat's own scale.
Plain box-score averages, 2026 season. No opponent adjustment — a soft schedule flatters these numbers.
| Category | Offense | Defense |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 28.7 (68th) | 18.9 (27th) |
| Total yards per game | 373.7 (87th) | 316.6 (30th) |
| Rushing yards per game | 126.7 (112th) | 175.4 (105th) |
| Passing yards per game | 247.0 (45th) | 141.1 (4th) |
| Yards per play | 5.85 (85th) | 5.61 (66th) |
| Third-down conversions | 35.8% (111th) | 32.6% (15th) |
Opponent-adjusted efficiency — the model’s own 2026 ratings.
| Category | Offense | Defense |
|---|---|---|
| Overall efficiency (EPA/play) | 0.10 (58th) | 0.15 (41st) |
| Success rate | 1.5% (87th) | 5.1% (30th) |
| Explosive plays (15+ yds, all) | 0.6% (72nd) | 0.7% (79th) |
| Explosive RUN plays | -1.6% (121st) | -2.4% (131st) |
| Pass-game success rate | 2.5% (63rd) | 7.1% (25th) |
| Line yards per carry | 2.7 (123rd) | 2.8 (64th) |
| Stuff rate (runs at/behind line) | 16.7% (47th) | 23.1% (27th) |
| Power-run success (3rd/4th & short) | 83.2% (15th) | 65.7% (52nd) |
| Havoc rate (TFL/sack/PBU/FF) | 13.7% (47th) | 17.5% (40th) |
2026 results
ATS = covered the closing spread · O/U = hit the closing total. Graded after the fact, never fed into the model.
| Opponent | Result | ATS | O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 9 | vs Purdue | W 31–17 | ✓ | U |
| Wk 7 | @ Michigan | L 18–21 | ✓ | U |
| Wk 6 | vs USC | L 23–31 | ✗ | U |
| Wk 5 | @ Northwestern | L 13–34 | ✗ | O |
| Wk 4 | vs Wisconsin | L 20–24 | ✗ | O |
| Wk 3 | vs Buffalo | W 55–13 | ✓ | O |
| Wk 2 | @ Temple | W 27–9 | ✗ | U |
| Wk 1 | vs Marshall | W 45–0 | ✓ | U |
Team fingerprint
Penn StatePercentile vs all FBS · 2026 season. Dashed ring = FBS median.