★16Penn State
2026 record
2-0
Against the spread
1-1 ATS
Over / Under
0-2 O/U
Top performers — 2026
Season leaders in each category, by yards. Box-score totals — site context only, never used by the model.
Passing
Rocco Becht QB
539 yds · 7 TD · 45 att
Rushing
Carson Hansen RB
132 yds · 0 TD · 30 car
Receiving
Koby Howard WR
229 yds · 1 TD · 9 rec
Team stats
National rank in parentheses (1 of 138 FBS teams). Green is good, red is bad, on each stat's own scale.
Plain box-score averages, 2026 season. No opponent adjustment — a soft schedule flatters these numbers.
| Category | Offense | Defense |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 36.0 (49th) | 4.5 (1st) |
| Total yards per game | 419.0 (62nd) | 222.0 (16th) |
| Rushing yards per game | 133.0 (102nd) | 117.0 (64th) |
| Passing yards per game | 286.0 (32nd) | 105.0 (5th) |
| Yards per play | 6.54 (58th) | 4.31 (25th) |
| Third-down conversions | 50.0% (32nd) | 26.1% (25th) |
Opponent-adjusted efficiency — the model’s own 2026 ratings.
| Category | Offense | Defense |
|---|---|---|
| Overall efficiency (EPA/play) | 0.14 (18th) | 0.09 (49th) |
| Success rate | 4.3% (29th) | 2.7% (52nd) |
| Explosive plays (15+ yds, all) | 1.5% (26th) | 0.7% (68th) |
| Explosive RUN plays | -2.5% (135th) | -0.0% (92nd) |
| Pass-game success rate | 7.8% (18th) | 3.6% (46th) |
| Line yards per carry | 2.5 (120th) | 2.1 (25th) |
| Stuff rate (runs at/behind line) | 11.0% (19th) | 31.8% (7th) |
| Power-run success (3rd/4th & short) | 76.2% (64th) | 65.0% (61st) |
| Havoc rate (TFL/sack/PBU/FF) | 7.9% (9th) | 17.9% (53rd) |
2026 results
ATS = covered the closing spread · O/U = hit the closing total. Graded after the fact, never fed into the model.
| Opponent | Result | ATS | O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 2 | @ Temple | W 27–9 | ✗ | U |
| Wk 1 | vs Marshall | W 45–0 | ✓ | U |
Team fingerprint
Penn StatePercentile vs all FBS · 2026 season. Dashed ring = FBS median.