Oregon State
2026 record
5-3
Against the spread
6-2 ATS
Over / Under
7-1 O/U
Top performers — 2026
Season leaders in each category, by yards. Box-score totals — site context only, never used by the model.
Passing
Braden Atkinson QB
2,956 yds · 25 TD · 331 att
Rushing
AJ Newberry RB
465 yds · 3 TD · 72 car
Receiving
Jesse Legree WR
1,110 yds · 14 TD · 53 rec
Team stats
National rank in parentheses (1 of 138 FBS teams). Green is good, red is bad, on each stat's own scale.
Plain box-score averages, 2026 season. No opponent adjustment — a soft schedule flatters these numbers.
| Category | Offense | Defense |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 42.7 (4th) | 23.1 (61st) |
| Total yards per game | 538.6 (2nd) | 353.0 (63rd) |
| Rushing yards per game | 147.0 (89th) | 146.7 (74th) |
| Passing yards per game | 391.6 (1st) | 206.3 (61st) |
| Yards per play | 7.38 (7th) | 5.34 (48th) |
| Third-down conversions | 48.3% (22nd) | 38.8% (66th) |
Opponent-adjusted efficiency — the model’s own 2026 ratings.
| Category | Offense | Defense |
|---|---|---|
| Overall efficiency (EPA/play) | 0.17 (26th) | 0.07 (75th) |
| Success rate | 5.8% (22nd) | 3.4% (57th) |
| Explosive plays (15+ yds, all) | 2.8% (13th) | 1.0% (70th) |
| Explosive RUN plays | 2.1% (25th) | -0.1% (95th) |
| Pass-game success rate | 3.9% (50th) | 3.2% (70th) |
| Line yards per carry | 3.3 (21st) | 3.0 (103rd) |
| Stuff rate (runs at/behind line) | 12.0% (6th) | 16.1% (114th) |
| Power-run success (3rd/4th & short) | 91.4% (1st) | 71.5% (83rd) |
| Havoc rate (TFL/sack/PBU/FF) | 10.8% (11th) | 17.0% (52nd) |
2026 results
ATS = covered the closing spread · O/U = hit the closing total. Graded after the fact, never fed into the model.
| Opponent | Result | ATS | O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 9 | @ Fresno State | L 22–38 | ✗ | O |
| Wk 7 | vs Washington State | W 48–30 | ✗ | O |
| Wk 6 | vs San Diego State | W 66–14 | ✓ | O |
| Wk 5 | @ Colorado State | W 56–26 | ✓ | O |
| Wk 4 | @ UTEP | W 33–7 | ✓ | U |
| Wk 3 | vs Montana | W 52–17 | ✓ | O |
| Wk 2 | vs Texas Tech | L 24–35 | ✓ | O |
| Wk 1 | @ Houston | L 20–33 | ✓ | O |
Team fingerprint
Oregon StatePercentile vs all FBS · 2026 season. Dashed ring = FBS median.