★2Ohio State
2026 record
1-1
Against the spread
2-0 ATS
Over / Under
1-1 O/U
Top performers — 2026
Season leaders in each category, by yards. Box-score totals — site context only, never used by the model.
Passing
Julian Sayin QB
598 yds · 4 TD · 57 att
Rushing
Bo Jackson RB
157 yds · 1 TD · 28 car
Receiving
Jeremiah Smith WR
315 yds · 3 TD · 16 rec
Team stats
National rank in parentheses (1 of 138 FBS teams). Green is good, red is bad, on each stat's own scale.
Plain box-score averages, 2026 season. No opponent adjustment — a soft schedule flatters these numbers.
| Category | Offense | Defense |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 39.5 (41st) | 13.5 (35th) |
| Total yards per game | 521.5 (18th) | 246.0 (24th) |
| Rushing yards per game | 165.5 (75th) | 93.0 (37th) |
| Passing yards per game | 356.0 (4th) | 153.0 (37th) |
| Yards per play | 7.73 (19th) | 3.71 (6th) |
| Third-down conversions | 44.0% (63rd) | 37.9% (73rd) |
Opponent-adjusted efficiency — the model’s own 2026 ratings.
| Category | Offense | Defense |
|---|---|---|
| Overall efficiency (EPA/play) | 0.15 (14th) | 0.18 (7th) |
| Success rate | 4.0% (32nd) | 5.7% (9th) |
| Explosive plays (15+ yds, all) | 1.2% (38th) | 3.2% (1st) |
| Explosive RUN plays | -3.0% (138th) | 2.8% (13th) |
| Pass-game success rate | 7.5% (20th) | 8.6% (8th) |
| Line yards per carry | 3.1 (57th) | 2.1 (22nd) |
| Stuff rate (runs at/behind line) | 19.4% (90th) | 23.4% (50th) |
| Power-run success (3rd/4th & short) | 70.8% (80th) | 36.4% (23rd) |
| Havoc rate (TFL/sack/PBU/FF) | 12.5% (53rd) | 19.0% (45th) |
2026 results
ATS = covered the closing spread · O/U = hit the closing total. Graded after the fact, never fed into the model.
| Opponent | Result | ATS | O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 2 | @ Texas | L 23–24 | ✓ | U |
| Wk 1 | vs Ball State | W 56–3 | ✓ | O |
Team fingerprint
Ohio StatePercentile vs all FBS · 2026 season. Dashed ring = FBS median.