Season leaders in each category, by yards. Box-score totals — site context only, never used by the model.
National rank in parentheses (1 of 138 FBS teams). Green is good, red is bad, on each stat's own scale.
Plain box-score averages, 2026 season. No opponent adjustment — a soft schedule flatters these numbers.
| Category | Offense | Defense |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 39.3 (10th) | 13.4 (4th) |
| Total yards per game | 482.6 (9th) | 266.6 (6th) |
| Rushing yards per game | 159.4 (66th) | 99.1 (13th) |
| Passing yards per game | 323.1 (5th) | 167.4 (14th) |
| Yards per play | 7.34 (8th) | 4.37 (2nd) |
| Third-down conversions | 46.5% (31st) | 37.8% (57th) |
Opponent-adjusted efficiency — the model’s own 2026 ratings.
| Category | Offense | Defense |
|---|---|---|
| Overall efficiency (EPA/play) | 0.20 (17th) | 0.25 (12th) |
| Success rate | 8.5% (8th) | 8.4% (8th) |
| Explosive plays (15+ yds, all) | 1.9% (23rd) | 2.9% (13th) |
| Explosive RUN plays | -1.0% (111th) | 3.0% (18th) |
| Pass-game success rate | 13.8% (4th) | 14.5% (1st) |
| Line yards per carry | 3.0 (78th) | 2.4 (10th) |
| Stuff rate (runs at/behind line) | 17.4% (54th) | 21.1% (49th) |
| Power-run success (3rd/4th & short) | 74.3% (61st) | 55.6% (18th) |
| Havoc rate (TFL/sack/PBU/FF) | 13.6% (45th) | 18.2% (30th) |
ATS = covered the closing spread · O/U = hit the closing total. Graded after the fact, never fed into the model.
| Opponent | Result | ATS | O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 9 | @ USC | L 18–30 | ✗ | U |
| Wk 7 | @ Indiana | W 19–15 | ✓ | U |
| Wk 6 | vs Maryland | W 45–16 | ✗ | O |
| Wk 5 | @ Iowa | W 31–14 | ✓ | U |
| Wk 4 | vs Illinois | W 42–19 | ✗ | O |
| Wk 3 | vs Kent State | W 59–3 | ✓ | O |
| Wk 2 | @ Texas | L 23–24 | ✓ | U |
| Wk 1 | vs Ball State | W 56–3 | ✓ | O |