New Mexico State
2026 record
3-5
Against the spread
4-4 ATS
Over / Under
3-5 O/U
Top performers — 2026
Season leaders in each category, by yards. Box-score totals — site context only, never used by the model.
Passing
Trey Hedden QB
906 yds · 5 TD · 124 att
Rushing
James Jones RB
889 yds · 4 TD · 139 car
Receiving
Tyler King WR
307 yds · 3 TD · 23 rec
Team stats
National rank in parentheses (1 of 138 FBS teams). Green is good, red is bad, on each stat's own scale.
Plain box-score averages, 2026 season. No opponent adjustment — a soft schedule flatters these numbers.
| Category | Offense | Defense |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 24.6 (95th) | 25.4 (85th) |
| Total yards per game | 375.7 (84th) | 337.1 (49th) |
| Rushing yards per game | 157.0 (71st) | 113.6 (30th) |
| Passing yards per game | 218.7 (80th) | 223.6 (91st) |
| Yards per play | 5.98 (73rd) | 5.47 (55th) |
| Third-down conversions | 38.2% (95th) | 40.2% (86th) |
Opponent-adjusted efficiency — the model’s own 2026 ratings.
| Category | Offense | Defense |
|---|---|---|
| Overall efficiency (EPA/play) | -0.12 (135th) | 0.04 (87th) |
| Success rate | 2.2% (77th) | 2.3% (77th) |
| Explosive plays (15+ yds, all) | 1.7% (28th) | 0.1% (104th) |
| Explosive RUN plays | -0.4% (97th) | -0.8% (111th) |
| Pass-game success rate | -2.5% (118th) | 2.5% (77th) |
| Line yards per carry | 3.0 (68th) | 2.5 (21st) |
| Stuff rate (runs at/behind line) | 15.2% (24th) | 24.8% (16th) |
| Power-run success (3rd/4th & short) | 85.3% (10th) | 85.7% (132nd) |
| Havoc rate (TFL/sack/PBU/FF) | 16.6% (98th) | 15.6% (78th) |
2026 results
ATS = covered the closing spread · O/U = hit the closing total. Graded after the fact, never fed into the model.
| Opponent | Result | ATS | O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 9 | vs Jacksonville State | L 0–24 | ✗ | U |
| Wk 8 | @ Sam Houston | W 30–24 | ✓ | O |
| Wk 6 | @ Florida International | L 3–22 | ✗ | U |
| Wk 5 | vs Western Kentucky | W 34–13 | ✓ | U |
| Wk 4 | vs New Mexico | L 18–42 | ✗ | O |
| Wk 2 | @ Hawai'i | L 19–29 | ✗ | U |
| Wk 1 | vs Mercyhurst | W 51–14 | ✓ | O |
| Wk 1 | @ Florida State | L 17–34 | ✓ | U |
Team fingerprint
New Mexico StatePercentile vs all FBS · 2026 season. Dashed ring = FBS median.