Sacramento State
2026 record
2-7
Against the spread
3-6 ATS
Over / Under
3-6 O/U
Top performers — 2026
Season leaders in each category, by yards. Box-score totals — site context only, never used by the model.
Passing
Jackson Sharman QB
1,374 yds · 8 TD · 244 att
Rushing
Isaiah Ene RB
410 yds · 3 TD · 77 car
Receiving
Matthew Coleman WR
492 yds · 5 TD · 41 rec
Team stats
National rank in parentheses (1 of 138 FBS teams). Green is good, red is bad, on each stat's own scale.
Plain box-score averages, 2026 season. No opponent adjustment — a soft schedule flatters these numbers.
| Category | Offense | Defense |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 15.2 (134th) | 32.9 (126th) |
| Total yards per game | 307.9 (128th) | 377.8 (89th) |
| Rushing yards per game | 110.0 (128th) | 179.0 (107th) |
| Passing yards per game | 197.9 (102nd) | 198.8 (53rd) |
| Yards per play | 5.04 (132nd) | 6.31 (116th) |
| Third-down conversions | 32.7% (128th) | 41.3% (94th) |
Opponent-adjusted efficiency — the model’s own 2026 ratings.
| Category | Offense | Defense |
|---|---|---|
| Overall efficiency (EPA/play) | -0.18 (138th) | -0.04 (126th) |
| Success rate | -3.0% (130th) | -0.3% (117th) |
| Explosive plays (15+ yds, all) | -2.1% (132nd) | -2.4% (135th) |
| Explosive RUN plays | -1.4% (115th) | -1.3% (117th) |
| Pass-game success rate | -6.2% (134th) | -3.9% (128th) |
| Line yards per carry | 2.5 (133rd) | 3.1 (110th) |
| Stuff rate (runs at/behind line) | 26.4% (135th) | 15.0% (129th) |
| Power-run success (3rd/4th & short) | 53.9% (128th) | 61.6% (37th) |
| Havoc rate (TFL/sack/PBU/FF) | 18.0% (123rd) | 10.7% (135th) |
2026 results
ATS = covered the closing spread · O/U = hit the closing total. Graded after the fact, never fed into the model.
| Opponent | Result | ATS | O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 9 | vs Kent State | W 31–10 | ✓ | U |
| Wk 8 | @ Ball State | L 17–34 | ✗ | U |
| Wk 7 | vs Ohio | L 7–48 | ✗ | O |
| Wk 6 | @ Bowling Green | L 10–38 | ✗ | O |
| Wk 4 | vs Massachusetts | L 6–35 | ✗ | U |
| Wk 3 | vs North Dakota State | L 10–31 | ✓ | U |
| Wk 2 | @ Fresno State | L 3–49 | ✗ | O |
| Wk 1 | vs Mississippi Valley State | W 52–0 | ✓ | U |
| Wk 1 | @ Eastern Michigan | L 17–28 | ✗ | U |
Team fingerprint
Sacramento StatePercentile vs all FBS · 2026 season. Dashed ring = FBS median.