Wake Forest
2026 record
7-1
Against the spread
6-2 ATS
Over / Under
4-4 O/U
Top performers — 2026
Season leaders in each category, by yards. Box-score totals — site context only, never used by the model.
Passing
Giovanni Lopez QB
2,176 yds · 18 TD · 228 att
Rushing
Ty Clark III RB
376 yds · 7 TD · 78 car
Receiving
Carlos Hernandez WR
856 yds · 5 TD · 57 rec
Team stats
National rank in parentheses (1 of 138 FBS teams). Green is good, red is bad, on each stat's own scale.
Plain box-score averages, 2026 season. No opponent adjustment — a soft schedule flatters these numbers.
| Category | Offense | Defense |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 37.4 (14th) | 19.4 (30th) |
| Total yards per game | 447.3 (23rd) | 322.1 (36th) |
| Rushing yards per game | 158.1 (70th) | 93.0 (8th) |
| Passing yards per game | 289.1 (11th) | 229.1 (102nd) |
| Yards per play | 6.93 (16th) | 4.61 (8th) |
| Third-down conversions | 49.4% (20th) | 42.2% (102nd) |
Opponent-adjusted efficiency — the model’s own 2026 ratings.
| Category | Offense | Defense |
|---|---|---|
| Overall efficiency (EPA/play) | 0.18 (24th) | 0.20 (21st) |
| Success rate | 4.3% (33rd) | 4.6% (41st) |
| Explosive plays (15+ yds, all) | 1.4% (41st) | 2.5% (17th) |
| Explosive RUN plays | 0.5% (62nd) | 3.3% (13th) |
| Pass-game success rate | 8.4% (25th) | 4.1% (56th) |
| Line yards per carry | 3.1 (55th) | 2.6 (28th) |
| Stuff rate (runs at/behind line) | 18.1% (72nd) | 25.5% (10th) |
| Power-run success (3rd/4th & short) | 76.7% (49th) | 61.6% (38th) |
| Havoc rate (TFL/sack/PBU/FF) | 10.1% (6th) | 15.5% (81st) |
2026 results
ATS = covered the closing spread · O/U = hit the closing total. Graded after the fact, never fed into the model.
| Opponent | Result | ATS | O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 9 | vs Virginia | W 51–7 | ✓ | O |
| Wk 7 | @ California | W 41–7 | ✓ | U |
| Wk 6 | @ NC State | W 38–14 | ✓ | U |
| Wk 5 | vs Stanford | W 57–3 | ✓ | O |
| Wk 4 | @ Louisville | W 30–27 | ✓ | U |
| Wk 3 | vs Miami | L 20–33 | ✓ | U |
| Wk 2 | @ Purdue | W 38–36 | ✗ | O |
| Wk 1 | vs Akron | W 38–16 | ✗ | O |
Team fingerprint
Wake ForestPercentile vs all FBS · 2026 season. Dashed ring = FBS median.