Duke
2026 record
6-2
Against the spread
6-2 ATS
Over / Under
3-5 O/U
Top performers — 2026
Season leaders in each category, by yards. Box-score totals — site context only, never used by the model.
Passing
Walker Eget QB
1,641 yds · 9 TD · 215 att
Rushing
Nate Sheppard RB
972 yds · 14 TD · 173 car
Receiving
Jeremiah Hasley TE
305 yds · 1 TD · 24 rec
Team stats
National rank in parentheses (1 of 138 FBS teams). Green is good, red is bad, on each stat's own scale.
Plain box-score averages, 2026 season. No opponent adjustment — a soft schedule flatters these numbers.
| Category | Offense | Defense |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 29.9 (62nd) | 16.0 (17th) |
| Total yards per game | 426.0 (44th) | 295.9 (19th) |
| Rushing yards per game | 190.4 (35th) | 107.9 (23rd) |
| Passing yards per game | 235.6 (60th) | 188.0 (35th) |
| Yards per play | 6.37 (43rd) | 4.95 (18th) |
| Third-down conversions | 44.2% (46th) | 30.3% (8th) |
Opponent-adjusted efficiency — the model’s own 2026 ratings.
| Category | Offense | Defense |
|---|---|---|
| Overall efficiency (EPA/play) | 0.10 (59th) | 0.14 (46th) |
| Success rate | 1.5% (88th) | 3.7% (52nd) |
| Explosive plays (15+ yds, all) | 1.2% (49th) | 1.0% (66th) |
| Explosive RUN plays | 1.2% (46th) | 1.2% (62nd) |
| Pass-game success rate | 2.5% (65th) | 3.0% (72nd) |
| Line yards per carry | 3.1 (45th) | 2.6 (40th) |
| Stuff rate (runs at/behind line) | 16.0% (37th) | 20.4% (60th) |
| Power-run success (3rd/4th & short) | 64.5% (103rd) | 69.0% (69th) |
| Havoc rate (TFL/sack/PBU/FF) | 11.1% (13th) | 16.6% (59th) |
2026 results
ATS = covered the closing spread · O/U = hit the closing total. Graded after the fact, never fed into the model.
| Opponent | Result | ATS | O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 9 | vs Boston College | W 47–2 | ✓ | U |
| Wk 8 | @ Virginia | W 19–16 | ✓ | U |
| Wk 7 | vs North Carolina | L 20–24 | ✗ | U |
| Wk 6 | @ Georgia Tech | L 25–28 | ✗ | O |
| Wk 4 | vs William & Mary | W 62–7 | ✓ | O |
| Wk 3 | vs Stanford | W 35–7 | ✓ | U |
| Wk 2 | @ Illinois | W 31–27 | ✓ | O |
| Wk 1 | vs Tulane | W 17–3 | ✓ | U |
Team fingerprint
DukePercentile vs all FBS · 2026 season. Dashed ring = FBS median.