Season leaders in each category, by yards. Box-score totals — site context only, never used by the model.
National rank in parentheses (1 of 138 FBS teams). Green is good, red is bad, on each stat's own scale.
Plain box-score averages, 2026 season. No opponent adjustment — a soft schedule flatters these numbers.
| Category | Offense | Defense |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 31.1 (54th) | 19.6 (31st) |
| Total yards per game | 426.7 (42nd) | 342.6 (54th) |
| Rushing yards per game | 162.1 (63rd) | 118.1 (35th) |
| Passing yards per game | 264.6 (31st) | 224.4 (92nd) |
| Yards per play | 6.35 (48th) | 5.31 (45th) |
| Third-down conversions | 42.9% (59th) | 36.8% (46th) |
Opponent-adjusted efficiency — the model’s own 2026 ratings.
| Category | Offense | Defense |
|---|---|---|
| Overall efficiency (EPA/play) | 0.12 (45th) | 0.25 (13th) |
| Success rate | 1.5% (86th) | 9.2% (7th) |
| Explosive plays (15+ yds, all) | 2.2% (19th) | 2.1% (28th) |
| Explosive RUN plays | -1.0% (112th) | 2.4% (32nd) |
| Pass-game success rate | 4.6% (46th) | 9.3% (12th) |
| Line yards per carry | 2.8 (112th) | 2.6 (37th) |
| Stuff rate (runs at/behind line) | 20.9% (110th) | 22.4% (35th) |
| Power-run success (3rd/4th & short) | 65.3% (102nd) | 78.3% (117th) |
| Havoc rate (TFL/sack/PBU/FF) | 15.8% (88th) | 19.6% (15th) |
ATS = covered the closing spread · O/U = hit the closing total. Graded after the fact, never fed into the model.
| Opponent | Result | ATS | O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 9 | @ Arkansas | W 34–10 | ✓ | U |
| Wk 7 | @ Ole Miss | L 3–31 | ✗ | U |
| Wk 6 | vs Texas A&M | W 27–6 | ✓ | U |
| Wk 5 | vs Florida | W 45–17 | ✓ | O |
| Wk 4 | @ Mississippi State | L 24–31 | ✗ | U |
| Wk 3 | vs Troy | W 27–17 | ✗ | U |
| Wk 2 | @ Kansas | W 38–21 | ✓ | O |
| Wk 1 | vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff | W 54–14 | ✗ | O |