★17Michigan
2026 record
5-3
Against the spread
3-5 ATS
Over / Under
2-6 O/U
Top performers — 2026
Season leaders in each category, by yards. Box-score totals — site context only, never used by the model.
Passing
Bryce Underwood QB
924 yds · 5 TD · 124 att
Rushing
Jordan Marshall RB
319 yds · 5 TD · 86 car
Receiving
JJ Buchanan WR
602 yds · 5 TD · 38 rec
Team stats
National rank in parentheses (1 of 138 FBS teams). Green is good, red is bad, on each stat's own scale.
Plain box-score averages, 2026 season. No opponent adjustment — a soft schedule flatters these numbers.
| Category | Offense | Defense |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 20.3 (118th) | 15.7 (15th) |
| Total yards per game | 300.0 (131st) | 252.7 (2nd) |
| Rushing yards per game | 134.1 (104th) | 100.1 (15th) |
| Passing yards per game | 165.9 (127th) | 152.6 (7th) |
| Yards per play | 5.12 (129th) | 4.56 (6th) |
| Third-down conversions | 40.0% (82nd) | 34.7% (34th) |
Opponent-adjusted efficiency — the model’s own 2026 ratings.
| Category | Offense | Defense |
|---|---|---|
| Overall efficiency (EPA/play) | 0.09 (66th) | 0.22 (16th) |
| Success rate | 3.1% (61st) | 5.5% (25th) |
| Explosive plays (15+ yds, all) | -0.1% (100th) | 3.1% (10th) |
| Explosive RUN plays | -0.0% (75th) | 4.0% (2nd) |
| Pass-game success rate | 1.4% (76th) | 7.8% (20th) |
| Line yards per carry | 2.9 (82nd) | 2.6 (36th) |
| Stuff rate (runs at/behind line) | 16.0% (38th) | 20.0% (66th) |
| Power-run success (3rd/4th & short) | 73.1% (66th) | 51.8% (12th) |
| Havoc rate (TFL/sack/PBU/FF) | 18.0% (122nd) | 16.6% (57th) |
2026 results
ATS = covered the closing spread · O/U = hit the closing total. Graded after the fact, never fed into the model.
| Opponent | Result | ATS | O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 9 | @ Rutgers | W 28–21 | ✗ | O |
| Wk 8 | vs Indiana | L 6–13 | ✓ | U |
| Wk 7 | vs Penn State | W 21–18 | ✗ | U |
| Wk 5 | @ Minnesota | L 14–20 | ✗ | U |
| Wk 4 | vs Iowa | L 19–20 | ✗ | U |
| Wk 3 | vs UTEP | W 52–17 | ✓ | O |
| Wk 2 | vs Oklahoma | W 17–10 | ✓ | U |
| Wk 1 | vs Western Michigan | W 13–12 | ✗ | U |
Team fingerprint
MichiganPercentile vs all FBS · 2026 season. Dashed ring = FBS median.