★20Michigan
2026 record
2-0
Against the spread
1-1 ATS
Over / Under
0-2 O/U
Top performers — 2026
Season leaders in each category, by yards. Box-score totals — site context only, never used by the model.
Passing
Bryce Underwood QB
281 yds · 1 TD · 39 att
Rushing
Bryce Underwood QB
134 yds · 2 TD · 27 car
Receiving
JJ Buchanan WR
174 yds · 1 TD · 8 rec
Team stats
National rank in parentheses (1 of 138 FBS teams). Green is good, red is bad, on each stat's own scale.
Plain box-score averages, 2026 season. No opponent adjustment — a soft schedule flatters these numbers.
| Category | Offense | Defense |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 15.0 (133rd) | 11.0 (18th) |
| Total yards per game | 263.0 (133rd) | 258.0 (28th) |
| Rushing yards per game | 122.5 (113th) | 123.0 (75th) |
| Passing yards per game | 140.5 (127th) | 135.0 (22nd) |
| Yards per play | 5.15 (121st) | 4.29 (24th) |
| Third-down conversions | 31.8% (121st) | 40.0% (82nd) |
Opponent-adjusted efficiency — the model’s own 2026 ratings.
| Category | Offense | Defense |
|---|---|---|
| Overall efficiency (EPA/play) | 0.10 (36th) | 0.16 (11th) |
| Success rate | -0.0% (101st) | 3.9% (31st) |
| Explosive plays (15+ yds, all) | -0.6% (110th) | 1.8% (16th) |
| Explosive RUN plays | 0.5% (53rd) | 2.6% (16th) |
| Pass-game success rate | -2.1% (108th) | 8.9% (6th) |
| Line yards per carry | 3.0 (75th) | 3.0 (99th) |
| Stuff rate (runs at/behind line) | 10.7% (18th) | 20.2% (81st) |
| Power-run success (3rd/4th & short) | 70.8% (80th) | 33.3% (11th) |
| Havoc rate (TFL/sack/PBU/FF) | 18.7% (122nd) | 16.5% (69th) |
2026 results
ATS = covered the closing spread · O/U = hit the closing total. Graded after the fact, never fed into the model.
| Opponent | Result | ATS | O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 2 | vs Oklahoma | W 17–10 | ✓ | U |
| Wk 1 | vs Western Michigan | W 13–12 | ✗ | U |
Team fingerprint
MichiganPercentile vs all FBS · 2026 season. Dashed ring = FBS median.